Crisis Simulations

Strategic Contingency Deterrence Initiative

Since mid-2024, EVC has been piloting this initiative through 20+ international Crisis Simulations focused on East Asia (Taiwan) contingency and Two-theater escalation scenarios, conducted in eight cities across three continents. To date, these simulations have been supported by:

  • S. Mission to the EU
  • Canadian Department of National Defense (MINDS)
  • Korea Foundation
  • Institute for National Defense and Security Research (Taiwan)
  • Australian Mission to the EU and NATO
  • European Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan
  • NATO Policy Planning Unit
  • NATO Public Diplomacy Division
  • Institute for National Security Strategy (ROK)
  • Warsaw Security Forum (Poland)
  • Konrad Adenauer Foundation (Germany)
  • Heinrich Böll Foundation (Germany)
  • Friedrich Naumann Foundation (Germany)
  • Bertelsmann Foundation (Germany)
  • Foundation for Strategic Research (France)
  • German Institute for International and Security Affairs (Germany)
  • Philippine Department of National Defense
  • Multiple MNCs and private entities

 

During the pilot phase of this initiative, EVC acquired extensive expertise and gathered valuable feedback from participants and partner organizations, enabling the continuous refinement of the program’s content, methodology, and formats. In parallel, by leveraging its on-the-ground presence and extensive networks in Taiwan, EVC has developed unique expertise in designing and conducting Taiwan-contingency tabletop exercises. As a result, EVC is currently the only European organization capable of designing and delivering crisis simulations in East Asia—including dual-escalation scenarios spanning both East Asia and NATO’s eastern flank—at this level of scope, complexity, and scale.

EVC conducted the first round of simulations across Europe, North America, and Asia in 2024 and 2025. These activities have generated significant interest among allied governments and partner institutions, leading to the planning of more than 15 additional crisis simulations throughout 2026. These exercises will be organized by EVC in cooperation with a broad range of co-hosts and partner organizations worldwide. Building on the extensive experience gained during the pilot phase, EVC now aims to further institutionalize and expand this initiative, increasing both its geographic reach and strategic impact in the years ahead.

Currently, EVC is reaching out to most trusted allied partners, seeking:

  • Funding for conducting the future Crisis Simulations in fully-fledged format
  • Analytical consultations on specific segments of contingency scenarios and policy responses

 

Overview of Crisis Simulations

Crisis Simulations of East Asia contingency / two-theater escalation EVC has facilitated or planned since 2024:

Conducted Simulations (2024–2025)

Nr.Date ConductedCityPlanned Co-Host or PartnerKey Target Group / Participants
121.05.2024PragueInstitute for National Defense and Security Research (Taiwan)20 Czech governmental officials across ministries and military
226.09.2024PragueEVC-only-hosted25 European parliamentarians and governmental officials
318.02.2025TaipeiEuropean Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan25 largest European businesses in Taiwan, 10 Taiwanese government representatives and 10 European diplomats
428.03.2025BrusselsNATO Policy Planning Unit30 in-house planners of specific teams across NATO civilian and military structures
524.04.2025BrusselsFriedrich Naumann Foundation50 European and Indo-Pacific governmental officials and experts
606.05.2025WarsawCenter for Eastern Studies (OSW)15 Polish governmental think-tankers
709.06.2025PraguePlatform “Prepared Czechia”30 Czech governmental, military and NGO leaders
817.06.2025PraguePlatform “Prepared Czechia”30 Czech governmental, military and business leaders
901.07.2025SeoulInstitute for National Security Strategy (R.O.K.) & Yonsei University45 R.O.K and allied governmental, military and think-tank leaders
1016.07.2025PraguePlatform “Prepared Czechia”25 Czech governmental, military and business leaders
1108.08.2025OsakaNATO, University of Tokyo60 Japanese, U.S. and European university students
1224.09.2025ParisFoundation for Strategic Research30 French and allied foreign policy establishment officials
1328.09.2025WarsawWarsaw Security Forum & Foundation for Defense of Democracies25 Allied foreign and defense officials present at Warsaw Security Forum
1401.10.2025BerlinFriedrich Naumann Foundation25 German and international political staffers
1506.11.2025PragueKorea Foundation, Canadian DND, and several other partners30 European and Indo-Pacific policy officials and experts
1624.11.2025OttawaCanadian Department of National Defense20 Canadian defense planners and military officers (CAF)
1705.12.2025BerlinGerman-Taiwan Dialogue Platform, Adenauer, Boell and Naumann Foundations45 Primarily German foreign and defense policy establishment

Planned Simulations (2026)

Nr.Planned DateCityPlanned Co-Host or PartnerKey Target Group
1813-14 Feb 2026PragueJapan Machinery Center for Trade and InvestmentCzech and Japanese economic security officials and experts
1915.04.2026BerlinGerman Institute for International and Security AffairsGerman key businesses operating in PRC
2024.06.2026BerlinBertelsmann FoundationGerman economic security officials and experts, major German companies
21Autumn 2026SeoulKonrad Adenauer Foundation, Sejong InstituteKorean and regional defense and economic security officials and experts
22Autumn 2026TaipeiEuropean Chamber of Commerce in TaiwanEuropean businesses in Taiwan, Taiwanese government representatives and European diplomats
23November 2026PragueKorea Foundation, Canadian Department of Defense30 European and Indo-Pacific policy officials and experts
24Autumn 2026ManilaPhilippine Department of National Defense, KAS ManilaPhilippine governmental officials and selected allies
25Autumn 2026ViennaAustralian Institute for European and Security StudiesAustrian governmental officials and selected allies
26Winter 2026VilniusGeopolitics and Security Studies CenterLithuanian and European governmental officials and selected allies
27Winter 2026Washington DCAtlantic Council, Konrad Adenauer StiftungU.S. and European policy officials and experts