{"id":42628,"date":"2026-03-24T12:03:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T10:03:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=42628"},"modified":"2026-04-01T20:19:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T18:19:01","slug":"a-brighter-grid-a-dimmer-future-chinas-energy-pitch-to-taiwan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/a-brighter-grid-a-dimmer-future-chinas-energy-pitch-to-taiwan\/","title":{"rendered":"A Brighter Grid, A Dimmer Future? China\u2019s Energy Pitch to Taiwan"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"42628\" class=\"elementor elementor-42628\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1d30ce46 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1d30ce46\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5d83f03\" data-id=\"5d83f03\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-26865195 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"26865195\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-no-translation=\"\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Photo: Marcin Jerzewski<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-24071dd elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"24071dd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-no-translation=\"\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<style>.elementor-element-24071dd{display:none !important}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-27e712bb elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"27e712bb\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6ff79a22\" data-id=\"6ff79a22\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-4d4109d2 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"4d4109d2\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-no-translation=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-651b25ad\" data-id=\"651b25ad\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d644cc9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d644cc9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>What is happening?<\/h2><p>A heated debate over <strong>energy stability <\/strong>erupted across the Taiwan Strait amid the U.S. war on Iran. On March 18, the People\u2019s Republic of China\u2019s Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) issued a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gwytb.gov.cn\/xwdt\/xwfb\/wyly\/202603\/t20260318_12756171.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> press release<\/a> stating that, due to uncertainty in the Middle East, <strong>Taiwan could face an energy shortage. <\/strong>In response to this potential crisis, the TAO proposed that China could be a stable energy source after the<strong> &#8220;peaceful reunification&#8221;<\/strong> of the two sides of the strait. This statement amplifies existing concerns in Taiwan stemming from the country\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/globaltaiwan.org\/2026\/02\/taiwans-bumpy-road-to-energy-resilience\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dependence<\/a> on imported energy sources and its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freiheit.org\/north-and-south-korea\/taiwan-blockade-lessons-crisis-simulation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">vulnerability<\/a> to a potential maritime blockade. During an interpellation in the Legislative Yuan, Deputy Minister of Economic Affairs Ho Chin-tsang (\u4f55\u6649\u6ec4), dismissed these remarks as a form of <strong>&#8220;<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cna.com.tw\/news\/aipl\/202603190131.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>cognitive warfare<\/strong><\/a><strong>&#8221; <\/strong>and asserted Taiwan\u2019s energy security.<\/p><h2>\u00a0<\/h2><h2>What is the broader picture?<\/h2><p>Although it boasts energy stability in its propaganda targeted at Taiwan, China is itself at a critical juncture in its energy security strategy amid growing domestic demand, global market instability, and its commitment to energy transition.<\/p><p>Following China\u2019s 14th Lianghui (Two Sessions), <strong>the <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/big5.www.gov.cn\/gate\/big5\/www.gov.cn\/yaowen\/liebiao\/202603\/content_7062633.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>15th Five-Year Plan<\/strong><\/a><strong> was approved,<\/strong> with key policy priorities and an advanced-technology focus signaling<strong> growing energy demand <\/strong>alongside China\u2019s energy transition agenda. Under its \u201cNew Quality Productive Forces\u201d (\u65b0\u8cea\u751f\u7522\u529b) framework, China aims to advance an \u201cAI+\u201d initiative and state-led investment in frontier science and sectors, such as 6G, advanced semiconductors, aerospace equipment, humanoid robotics, and embodied AI. It is worth noting that this highly dense technological upgrading could only be realized under conditions of energy stability, underscoring the crucial role of the &#8220;New Type of Energy System&#8221; (\u65b0\u578b\u5132\u80fd\u767c\u5c55) within China\u2019s energy transition agenda. The strategy of moving toward the early stage of carbon neutrality involves decarbonization, creating an infrastructure of clean energy hubs, a coastal \u201cnuclear power belt,\u201d and smart grid development.<\/p><p>However, <strong>the prolonged Middle East conflict has exposed China\u2019s energy dependency <\/strong>on imported fossil fuels. With the Strait of Hormuz cut off, China\u2019s crude oil imports from Iran \u2014 13 percent of its total imports \u2014 are at risk. Moreover, its energy security could provide<strong> potential diplomatic leverage<\/strong> for Washington.<\/p><p>According to Taiwan\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/indsr.org.tw\/respublicationcon?uid=16&amp;resid=3002&amp;pid=5390&amp;typeid=3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Institute for National Defense and Security Research (INDSR),<\/a> <strong>the primary bottleneck for China&#8217;s transition is its shortcomings in grid stability, and the strategic role of coal, as the \u201cballast stone.\u201d<\/strong> Beijing continues to ramp up coal production to ensure domestic stability, further backing it into a corner that could undermine its green energy transition efforts. Furthermore, as commitments to sustainable global supply chains grow, such as the European Union\u2019s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), China\u2019s export-led transition to decarbonization is at a disadvantage due to its current energy vulnerabilities and its overall heavily state-controlled policies.<\/p><p>However, as China remains a superpower in critical minerals,<strong> this creates a potential trade-off between its dominance and vulnerability in oil and semiconductors, a recurring issue for its high-end <\/strong>AI+ initiative developments under a policy of \u201cResource Nationalism,\u201d which could lead to future trade deals and negotiations.<\/p><p>Taiwan\u2019s energy security remains structurally fragile. The country imports more than 97% of its energy, with a growing reliance on<strong> liquefied natural gas (LNG) <\/strong>as it has phased out nuclear power. Around 30% of this LNG comes from Qatar, which saw its gas facilities struck by Iranian missiles March 19, making supplies highly vulnerable to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a key global chokepoint. Current regional tensions have underscored this risk. Compounding the challenge, Taiwan currently maintains only around 10\u201311 days of LNG storage, meaning even short-term supply interruptions could quickly translate into domestic shortages. To this end, Taiwan\u2019s Energy Administration has announced that these reserves will be expanded to 14 days\u2019 worth of LNG by next year.<\/p><h2>\u00a0<\/h2><h2>Why does it matter?<\/h2><p>Even though China\u2019s 15th Five-Year Plan laid out a promising prospect for energy transition and technological breakthroughs,<strong> unresolved vulnerabilities and dependencies signal a more grounded reality for China\u2019s path toward decarbonization<\/strong>, with a potential window for negotiation worth noting.<\/p><p>What\u2019s more, in an era of polycrisis, where states all seek to mitigate the outcome of climate change, geopolitical crises, and domestic politics \u2014 whether by shifting toward sustainability or proposing policy innovations \u2014 the Middle East conflict and China\u2019s transition commitments serve as a reminder that, in a globalized world,<strong> interdependence remains a key factor of influence, for both democracies and authoritarian states. <\/strong><\/p><p>Moreover, China\u2019s messaging on energy security in Taiwan should be understood through the lens of its \u201c<strong>Three Warfares<\/strong>\u201d doctrine \u2014 <strong>public opinion<\/strong>, <strong>psychological<\/strong>, and <strong>legal<\/strong> warfare \u2014where the <strong>cognitive element <\/strong>plays a central role. By framing itself as a guarantor of Taiwan\u2019s energy stability, Beijing seeks to <strong>shape perceptions rather than realitie<\/strong>s, amplifying fears, deepening societal divisions, and eroding trust in Taiwan\u2019s democratic institutions. In this context, energy security becomes not just an economic issue, but a <strong>political battlefield<\/strong>, where <strong>narratives are weaponized <\/strong>to <strong>weaken<\/strong> <strong>public<\/strong> <strong>confidence<\/strong> and subtly <strong>legitimize China\u2019s sovereignty claims<\/strong>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Photo: Marcin Jerzewski Foto: Marcin Jerzewski What is happening? A heated debate over energy stability erupted across the Taiwan Strait amid the U.S. war on Iran. On March 18, the People\u2019s Republic of China\u2019s Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) issued a press release stating that, due to uncertainty in the Middle East, Taiwan could face an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":42633,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[576],"class_list":["post-42628","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-miguel-sun"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Brighter Grid, A Dimmer Future? 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