{"id":34502,"date":"2023-09-05T12:01:27","date_gmt":"2023-09-05T10:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=34502"},"modified":"2024-03-11T15:32:46","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T13:32:46","slug":"china-squeezed-by-economic-slowdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/china-squeezed-by-economic-slowdown\/","title":{"rendered":"China Squeezed by Economic Slowdown"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"34502\" class=\"elementor elementor-34502\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-68f445fc elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"68f445fc\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3356fb99\" data-id=\"3356fb99\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-7e83a606 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"7e83a606\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-no-translation=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-55091926\" data-id=\"55091926\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-759b42c7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"759b42c7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>What is happening? \/ Co se d\u011bje?<\/h2><p>China is in trouble. The country we used to associate with a vibrant and speeding economy \u2013 currently the world\u2019s second-largest \u2013 for the last few decades is now challenged by an <strong>unprecedented economic downgrade<\/strong>. While some see it as an <strong>opportunity<\/strong>, with its global ties and dependencies, others perceive the situation as a <strong>\u201cticking bomb.\u201d<\/strong> Concurrently, China is facing extremely high unemployment rates among its youth. The situation is so severe that officials recently stopped publishing unemployment data, attracting international media&#8217;s attention.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><h2>What is the broader picture?<\/h2><p>Contrasting the\u00a0<em>reform and opening up<\/em>\u00a0(\u6539\u9769\u958b\u653e,\u00a0<em>gaige kaifang<\/em>) strategy under Deng Xiaoping (\u9127\u5c0f\u5e73), China under Xi Jinping (\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73) is becoming increasingly <strong>closed to the outside world<\/strong>. The coronavirus disease pandemic, to which Beijing responded with a strict zero-COVID policy, was an excellent opportunity for the CCP to test its tools for total social control. Despite severe local protests and economic losses, the CCP handled it. Not only has China closed itself physically, but it has also shut down many information channels. It is steadily <strong>more difficult to obtain reliable information from China<\/strong>, and in many sectors, we depend only on official data.<\/p><p>Recently, the Chinese yuan fell to its <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/international\/business\/chinas-economic-slowdown-alarms-international-leaders-investors-report\/articleshow\/103305514.cms?from=mdr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lowest level in 16 years<\/a>. Morgan Stanley and other major banks cut China&#8217;s 2023 economic growth forecast below <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/china-gdp-morgan-stanley-idUKL4N39Y1GZ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">five percent<\/a>. China\u2019s production and import have slowed down, the domestic real estate crisis is deepening, and unemployment among youth has gotten so severe the government has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/business-66219007\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stopped publishing related data<\/a>.<\/p><p>Of course, it is not the first time economic problems challenge China, but according to the observers, this time it is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/asia\/why-is-chinas-economy-slowing-down-could-it-get-worse-2023-09-01\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">different<\/a>. This slowdown is characterized by an imbalance between consumption and investment which is <strong>even deeper than 1990\u2019s stagnation<\/strong> <strong>in Japan<\/strong>.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><h2>Why it matters? \/ Pro\u010d je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9?<\/h2><p>For some, the Chinese economic slowdown means an opportunity. India, Vietnam, and South Korea look forward to substituting for some of the global demand and attracting foreign investment. However, despite the growing push to diversify away from and lower the dependency on Beijing, the Chinese market remains highly interconnected with the rest of the world, and <strong>its degradation will affect global markets<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Secondly, it needs to be clarified how the economic crisis and other domestic issues will squeeze the state. Some indicators show that <strong>Xi&#8217;s rule has not been stable<\/strong>, and he does not trust comrades in the top positions within the party and the army. The question of what happened to the former foreign minister Qin Gang (\u79e6\u525b) has yet to be answered. Just a week after he had been disappeared, Xi <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/08\/02\/china\/china-pla-rocket-force-shakeup-new-leaders-intl-hnk-ml-mic\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">replaced two top figures in leadership of the PLA Rocket Force<\/a>, the military branch overseeing the nation&#8217;s nuclear and ballistic missiles. Interestingly, the new two appointees are outside the branch with no previous experience in rocket force. Wang Houbin (\u738b\u539a\u658c) comes from the navy, and Xu Xisheng (\u5f90\u897f\u76db) from the airforce.<\/p><p>As Joe Biden\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/biden-calls-china-ticking-time-bomb-due-economic-troubles-2023-08-10\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">said<\/a>: &#8220;They have got some problems. That&#8217;s not good because when bad folks have problems, they do bad things.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is happening? \/ Co se d\u011bje? China is in trouble. The country we used to associate with a vibrant and speeding economy \u2013 currently the world\u2019s second-largest \u2013 for the last few decades is now challenged by an unprecedented economic downgrade. While some see it as an opportunity, with its global ties and dependencies, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":34503,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[495],"class_list":["post-34502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-marcin-jerzewski"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China Squeezed by Economic Slowdown - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/china-squeezed-by-economic-slowdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China Squeezed by Economic Slowdown - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"What is happening? \/ Co se d\u011bje? China is in trouble. The country we used to associate with a vibrant and speeding economy \u2013 currently the world\u2019s second-largest \u2013 for the last few decades is now challenged by an unprecedented economic downgrade. 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