{"id":34367,"date":"2023-08-03T15:00:10","date_gmt":"2023-08-03T13:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=34367"},"modified":"2024-03-11T15:32:17","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T13:32:17","slug":"taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\/","title":{"rendered":"Taiwan: Third Party Grows Strong in Presidential Race"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"34367\" class=\"elementor elementor-34367\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-40da51ba elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"40da51ba\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6944cfe6\" data-id=\"6944cfe6\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-27cdc4de elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"27cdc4de\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-no-translation=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-43b2f7b2\" data-id=\"43b2f7b2\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b10d96b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b10d96b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>Summary<\/h2><p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>As Taiwan gears up for presidential elections in January 2024, former Taipei mayor and chairperson of the Taiwan People\u2019s Party (TPP) Ko Wen-je (\u67ef\u6587\u54f2) continues to perform well in polls, surmounting Hou Yu-ih (\u4faf\u53cb\u5b9c) who is backed by the Taiwan\u2019s Beijing-friendly main opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT). The strong performance of the TPP, a party outside of Taiwan\u2019s political mainstream, merits further consideration as voters in Taiwan grow increasingly disenchanted with the current two-party system whose main fault lines are defined by the outlook on the future of Taiwan\u2019s relations with China.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><h2>Analysis<\/h2><p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>While Taiwan\u2019s party system continues to be dominated by two parties, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the Kuomintang (KMT), the presidential elections in 2024 will follow a three-way contest. According to the most recent (June 20)\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tpof.org\/%e5%9c%96%e8%a1%a8%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90\/%e6%94%bf%e9%bb%a8%e7%ab%b6%e7%88%ad%e3%80%81%e7%b8%bd%e7%b5%b1%e8%81%b2%e6%9c%9b%e8%88%872024%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e7%b8%bd%e7%b5%b1%e5%a4%a7%e9%81%b8%ef%bc%882023%e5%b9%b46%e6%9c%8820%e6%97%a5%ef%bc%89\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a>\u00a0of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, DPP&#8217;s William Lai (\u8cf4\u6e05\u5fb7) is the leading candidate with 36.5 percent of support. He is followed by TPP&#8217;s Ko Wen-je with 29.1 percent, and KMT&#8217;s occupies the third place with 20.1 percent. With the elections almost six months away, the results of the polls cannot be used as a definitive predictor. At the same time, TPP\u2019s strong performance begs a question about the shift away from the blue-green dichotomy which has defined Taiwan\u2019s political scene since the beginning of democratization in the island nation.<\/p><p>The pan-Blue camp, led by the KMT, advocates for closer relations between Taiwan and China, appealing to Chinese nationalism and alleged economic benefits of closer integration between both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Meanwhile, the pan-Green camp, in which the DPP is the dominant actor, seeks to diminish Taiwan\u2019s dependence on China as it recognizes the nation as\u00a0<em>de facto<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em>sovereign. Consequently, in national electoral races, the unification-independence stances of voters traditionally constituted the main political fault line in Taiwan, and effectively translated into their partisan identities. Yet, the foreign policy stance of TPP is yet to be defined. According to Ko, most Taiwanese\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/chinaobservers.eu\/taiwans-2024-presidential-elections-and-the-future-of-cross-strait-relations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">favor<\/a>\u00a0\u201cno unification, no independence, and no use of force\u201d \u2013 an ambiguous characterization (albeit consistent with\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/esc.nccu.edu.tw\/PageDoc\/Detail?fid=7801&amp;id=6963\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">public opinion research<\/a>\u00a0demonstrating that most Taiwanese respondents seek\u00a0\u201cto maintain the status quo indefinitely\u201d) which might suggest that voters now prioritize other considerations than Taiwan-China relations at the polls.\u00a0<\/p><p>The upcoming elections have been named \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/thechinaproject.com\/2023\/05\/08\/the-2024-taiwanese-presidential-election-may-be-the-islands-most-consequential\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the island\u2019s most consequential<\/a>\u201d as tensions in the Taiwan Strait remain very pronounced. It is thus particularly interesting to see that Ko Wen-je, who has an inconsistent record on cross-strait policy, is performing so strongly in the current polls. It is noteworthy that Ko\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/focustaiwan.tw\/cross-strait\/202306090017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">defended<\/a>\u00a0his stance that &#8220;two sides of the Taiwan Strait are one family&#8221; by saying it was at least a better approach than &#8220;the two sides of the Taiwan Strait are enemies.&#8221; At the same time, it can be argued that this sentiment is a product of increasingly consolidated Taiwanese identity. According to research of the Election Studies Center at the National Chengchi University, 62.8 percent of respondents identify exclusively as Taiwanese, compared to 30.5 percent who claim both Taiwanese and Chinese identity. Consequently, as Taiwanese democracy continues to mature and Taiwanese identity emerges as increasingly assertive, voters might prioritize party ideology or domestic policy proposals over relations with China as the main factor behind their electoral choices.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summary \u00a0As Taiwan gears up for presidential elections in January 2024, former Taipei mayor and chairperson of the Taiwan People\u2019s Party (TPP) Ko Wen-je (\u67ef\u6587\u54f2) continues to perform well in polls, surmounting Hou Yu-ih (\u4faf\u53cb\u5b9c) who is backed by the Taiwan\u2019s Beijing-friendly main opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT). The strong performance of the TPP, a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":34368,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[495],"class_list":["post-34367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-marcin-jerzewski"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Taiwan: Third Party Grows Strong in Presidential Race - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Taiwan: Third Party Grows Strong in Presidential Race - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Summary \u00a0As Taiwan gears up for presidential elections in January 2024, former Taipei mayor and chairperson of the Taiwan People\u2019s Party (TPP) Ko Wen-je (\u67ef\u6587\u54f2) continues to perform well in polls, surmounting Hou Yu-ih (\u4faf\u53cb\u5b9c) who is backed by the Taiwan\u2019s Beijing-friendly main opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT). The strong performance of the TPP, a [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-08-03T13:00:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-03-11T13:32:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/TWN-flags.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2160\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1136\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Ond\u0159ej Ber\u00e1nek\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Ond\u0159ej Ber\u00e1nek\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Ond\u0159ej Ber\u00e1nek\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7724fb271acacd215231c937a200a510\"},\"headline\":\"Taiwan: Third Party Grows Strong in Presidential Race\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-03T13:00:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-03-11T13:32:17+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1182,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/08\\\/TWN-flags.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Marcin Jerzewski\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Articles\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/taiwan-third-party-grows-strong-in-presidential-race\\\/\",\"name\":\"Taiwan: Third Party Grows Strong in Presidential Race - 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