{"id":5186,"date":"2017-10-31T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2017-10-30T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/kremlin-watch-briefing-what-can-we-expect-from-the-presidential-elections-in-the-czech-republic\/"},"modified":"2021-12-16T12:21:57","modified_gmt":"2021-12-16T10:21:57","slug":"kremlin-watch-briefing-what-can-we-expect-from-the-presidential-elections-in-the-czech-republic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/kremlin-watch-briefing-what-can-we-expect-from-the-presidential-elections-in-the-czech-republic\/","title":{"rendered":"Kremlin Watch Briefing: What can we expect from the presidential elections in the Czech Republic?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Weekly monitor of pro-Kremlin disinformation effort in Europe. We follow best European analysts, best counter-measures and trends.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

NEW PUBLICATIONS<\/strong><\/h2>\n

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For those seeking to understand the state of play in the Czech Republic<\/strong>, we have prepared a brief\u00a0report<\/a>\u00a0published by the Warsaw Institute. The goal of the report is to identify the main channels of the Kremlin\u2019s hostile influence, their effectiveness, and the most relevant responses from the government and the civil society.<\/p>\n

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In his\u00a0article<\/a>\u00a0for New Eastern Europe, Jakub Janda argues that the Kremlin was not actively interested in supporting Czech political parties before the parliamentary elections, but that\u00a0we can expect interference attempts in the presidential elections<\/strong>\u00a0next year to help President Milo\u0161 Zeman win a second term. According to Jakub, the President \u201cis the pivot patron of Russian influence in the country\u201d.<\/p>\n

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Topics of the Week<\/strong><\/h2>\n

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According to John Schindler (Observer<\/a>)<\/u>,\u00a0Polish counterintelligence is conducting exemplary work<\/strong>\u00a0while countering the Kremlin\u2019s hostile influence operations. Schindler praises the Internal Security Agency for publicly deporting Dmitry Karnaukhov, who officially worked as an academic at the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies in Warsaw, but in fact was spying for the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR).<\/p>\n

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Recent technological advancements have enabled actors using hybrid threats to both attain a wider reach and develop a wider set of tools. In order to successfully counter these innovations,\u00a0states must have sufficient know-how.<\/strong>\u00a0Read the \u00a0report<\/a>\u00a0by the European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats.<\/p>\n

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While we appreciate the latest\u00a0statements<\/a>\u00a0made by Boris Johnson (who called it a scandal to appear on RT and thus legitimate such propaganda),\u00a0London has to be more clear and consistent about its Russia policy<\/strong>. It was revealed that, prior to the Brexit referendum, the Democratic Unionist Party received an unprecedented\u00a0donation<\/a>\u00a0of \u00a3425,000 from the Constitutional Research Council for the Leave campaign. This has still not been resolved. Open Democracy is continuously investigating the true origin of the mysterious gift. According to their last\u00a0report<\/a>, all the key figures they approached so far have denied their connection to the donation.<\/p>\n

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Good Old Soviet Joke<\/strong><\/p>\n

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“OK, now 25 years of life are guaranteed for you!”<\/p>\n

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US Developments<\/strong><\/h2>\n

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Russian trolls are planning a Reddit \u2018AMA\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n

Russian trolls claiming to be behind the site BlackMattersUS, which has recently been exposed as a Russian propaganda operation, have\u00a0announced<\/a>\u00a0that they are planning a Reddit \u2018ask-me-anything\u2019 and have contacted several reporters asking them to submit questions. The website of BlackMattersUS has since been transformed into an advertisement for the AMA:<\/p>\n

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Screenshot\/BlackMattersUS<\/em><\/p>\n

It is unclear whether the AMA will in fact take place, but it appears to be scheduled for October 30. The reporters who have been contacted have all prominently covered news relating to Russia\u2019s disinformation and hostile influence efforts. Though it remains to be seen whether the AMA proceeds, it is clear that the trolls are performing another PR stunt to remain visible and continue polluting the information space.<\/p>\n

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How Russia uses American businesses to steal US military tech<\/strong><\/p>\n

Amidst the continuing discussion about Russia\u2019s disinformation campaign, it\u2019s essential to remember that the Kremlin deploys many different approaches in its foreign influence efforts. A recent example is the indictment of two women in the US who\u00a0helped smuggle<\/a>\u00a0military-grade technology to Russia via a US-based company called Arc Electronics that falsely claimed to manufacture traffic lights. According to case prosecutors, \u201cspecific correspondence recovered during the course of the investigation revealed that the Federal Security Service, Russia\u2019s domestic intelligence agency, as well as Russian military entities, were the end users of some of the microelectronics exported by Arc.\u201d Read the full saga at\u00a0The Daily Beast<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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White House continues to stall Russia sanctions<\/strong><\/p>\n

Two top Republicans in the Senate, Bob Corker and John McCain, have\u00a0vowed to determine<\/a>\u00a0whether the White House is purposefully stalling the implementation of new sanctions against Russia, which were mandated to go into effect on October 1. White House officials claim there is \u201cno deliberate hold-up\u201d and have blamed the delay on slow proceedings by the State Department.<\/p>\n

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The Kremlin\u2019s Current Narrative<\/strong><\/h2>\n

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Who is more human?<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has once\u00a0again slammed<\/a>\u00a0\u2018the so-called allies\u2019 in the Syrian conflict. Moscow gave the US-led anti-ISIS coalition slight kudos for capturing Raqqa (October 22) but this success was immediately discredited by claims that the\u00a0\u201cthe terrorist leaders left the city several months ago and were followed by convoys of ordinary terrorists. Raqqa was taken by units of the Syrian Democratic Forces whose backbone is formed by Kurdish volunteers. The United States and other members of the coalition provided them with active air and fire support\u201d<\/em>. These missile strikes were described as indiscriminate by the Russian FM and, according to Moscow, resulted in the loss of thousands of lives. Raqqa\u2019s population of half a million decreased to no more than 25,000.\u00a0\u201cThis is the truth behind the assessments we hear from our Western colleagues\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n

Moscow is once again disappointed in the Western media for carrying out a campaign about a famine in the Eastern Ghouta suburb of Damascus (de-escalation zone), rather than properly covering the situation in Raqqa. Russia blames the West for playing games and for \u201cshamelessly using humanitarian issues for political goals to increase unilateral pressure on the Syrian government and also on Russia as it helps it combat terrorism\u201d.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Shall we talk about the Russian \u2018humanitarian convoys\u2019 to eastern Ukraine?<\/p>\n

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Ukraine\u2019s discriminatory policies: Part II<\/strong><\/p>\n

Maria Zakharova, spokeswoman of the Russian FM, devoted the majority of her remarks to Ukraine during her last\u00a0briefing<\/a>. If you follow us regularly, this news will not come as a surprise. Apparently, the issue keeping her awake at night is the infamous education law (covered in our\u00a0past issue<\/a>). Kiev\u00b4s attempt to assure its neighbours that their compatriots and related ethnic groups will not face any linguistic problems in Ukraine was categorically dismissed by Russia. Moscow claims that all these measures are taken exclusively against Russian speakers and the Russian language. Zakharova no longer sees European colleagues chuckling at Moscow when Russia speaks about the really serious nationalist influence that is rapidly growing in Ukraine. \u201cIn the past, they laughed at us, saying these are our inventions. These are not inventions. Kiev moved to the active introduction of nationalistic decisions.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

We recommend reading the\u00a0briefing<\/a>\u00a0as it provides an exhaustive (and exhausting) explanation of how Russia feels about Ukraine, which it is described as\u00a0\u201cthe Middle Ages at their worst\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n

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Russophobic London<\/strong><\/p>\n

In another interesting\u00a0statement<\/a>\u00a0that Moscow could not ignore, Britain\u2019s Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson didn\u2019t miss his chance to call out Russia Today (thank you!). Johnson called it a \u201cscandal\u201d that members of the Labour Party appear on RT.\u00a0\u201cIf we study the output of Russia Today and consider the state of the press in Russia at present, we see that it is an absolute scandal that Labour Members should be continuing to validate and legitimate that kind of propaganda by going on those programmes. I am assured by my ministerial team that none of them does so,\u201d<\/em>\u00a0Mr Johnson said.<\/p>\n

We understand that this is a political game as Conservatives also appear on RT, in fact so does Johnson\u2019s father. But raising this issue and public shaming is necessary. Johnson will be in Moscow soon so we will see how he deals with Russian media in person.<\/p>\n

We believe it is a pure coincidence that this car was parked in front of our colleague\u2019s place. But we also read Catch 22.\u00a0\u201cJust because you’re paranoid doesn’t mean they aren’t after you.\u201d<\/em>\u00a0\u2013 Joseph Heller<\/p>\n

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Policy & Research News<\/strong><\/h2>\n

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AfD voters more receptive to disinformation<\/strong><\/p>\n

Although disinformation in the media doesn\u2019t appear to have had a significant impact on Germans during the recent parliamentary elections, the Berlin-based think-tank Stiftung Neue Verantwortung concluded in a recent\u00a0study<\/a>\u00a0that it may have reinforced the views of supporters of the far-right Alternative for Germany. According to their research, AfD voters were more receptive to false stories and relied more on social media for information.<\/p>\n

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Mysterious Brexit campaign donation still unresolved<\/strong><\/p>\n

It has been revealed that, prior to the Brexit referendum, the Democratic Unionist Party received an unprecedented\u00a0donation<\/a>\u00a0of \u00a3425,000 from the Constitutional Research Council for their Leave campaign. Open Democracy is still investigating the true origin of the mysterious gift. According to their last\u00a0report<\/a>, all the key figures they approached so far have denied any connection to the donation or publicly expressed their opposition to Brexit, apart from banker Hanry Angest, who refused to comment. There is no evidence suggesting he was actually involved. The whole issue raises questions about the transparency of political financing in the United Kingdom.<\/p>\n

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Disinformation and extremism in Slovakia<\/strong><\/p>\n

Disinformation outlets helped the Slovakian far-right People\u2019s Party become the third most popular in the country, says Michael Colborne in his\u00a0article<\/a>\u00a0for Coda Story. Alarmingly, the L\u2019SNS includes several neo-Nazi members, has 14 seats in the Slovakian Parliament, and is largely supported by the youth. Currently they are predicted to have more success during the regional elections.<\/p>\n

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Polish counterintelligence sets a good example<\/strong><\/p>\n

According to John Schindler, Polish counterintelligence is conducting exemplary work while countering the Kremlin\u2019s hostile influence operations. In the\u00a0Observer<\/a>, he praises the Internal Security Agency for publicly deporting Dmitry Karnaukhov, who officially worked as an academic at the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies in Warsaw, but in fact was spying for the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR). Schindler warns that Karnaukhov might reappear in another Western country once the attention goes away.<\/p>\n

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Kremlin Watch Reading Suggestion<\/strong><\/h2>\n

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Regional Cooperation to Support National Hybrid Defence Efforts<\/strong><\/p>\n

Recent technological advancements have\u00a0enabled actors using hybrid threats to both attain a wider reach and develop a wider set of tools. In order to successfully counter these innovations, states must have sufficient know-how.<\/strong>\u00a0This paper<\/a>\u00a0by the European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats is a good start.<\/p>\n

Response mechanisms to hybrid threats are, in most cases, based on\u00a0solid ground-work done on a national level<\/strong>. Nations must understand the threats they are facing and the vulnerabilities they have. In order to achieve that, it is necessary for states to regularly undertake national vulnerability assessments, where a threat actor\u2019s goals, means, and tools are compared with unique, country-specific vulnerabilities. Furthermore, scenario-based exercises and up-to-date situational awareness are also important. Such activities are crucial for developing a comprehensive whole-of-society security approach.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless,\u00a0to be truly resilient, individual countries must engage in networked cooperation.<\/strong>\u00a0Without well-functioning information sharing, a coordinated and well-targeted response cannot take place. The need for regional cooperation can also be seen, for example, in the protection of critical infrastructure, which in most cases span across national borders. Moreover, infrastructure is mostly under civilian and often private ownership, which is one of the reasons why military defence alone is insufficient and why states must support the preparedness and resilience of civilian sectors as well. A good example of such regional cooperation is the Baltic Sea region, where the EU-NATO workshop on hybrid risk assessment took place recently – you can find the key takeaways from it in the paper.<\/p>\n

Subscribe to Kremlin Watch Briefing!<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Weekly monitor of pro-Kremlin disinformation effort in Europe. We follow best European analysts, best counter-measures and trends.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":15647,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5186","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\nKremlin Watch Briefing: What can we expect from the presidential elections in the Czech Republic? - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/kremlin-watch-briefing-what-can-we-expect-from-the-presidential-elections-in-the-czech-republic\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kremlin Watch Briefing: What can we expect from the presidential elections in the Czech Republic? - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Weekly monitor of pro-Kremlin disinformation effort in Europe. 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