{"id":42907,"date":"2026-04-21T15:56:47","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T13:56:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=42907"},"modified":"2026-04-21T15:58:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T13:58:10","slug":"east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\/","title":{"rendered":"Simulace krizov\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e dvojit\u00e9 eskalace ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"42907\" class=\"elementor elementor-42907\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-10b675b5 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"10b675b5\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-679d831f\" data-id=\"679d831f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-4217782c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"4217782c\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-no-translation=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-4b66b1ae\" data-id=\"4b66b1ae\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7dbbb8ad elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7dbbb8ad\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Tento report vych\u00e1z\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b uzav\u0159en\u00e9 krizov\u00e9 simulace tzv. sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e dvojit\u00e9 eskalace, kterou uspo\u0159\u00e1dalo Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed centrum Evropsk\u00e9 hodnoty (EVC) ve spolupr\u00e1ci s Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS) v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei b\u011bhem v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025. Cvi\u010den\u00ed se zam\u011b\u0159ilo na bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed a politicko-ekonomick\u00e9 aspekty p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9ho simult\u00e1nn\u011b vznikaj\u00edc\u00edho konfliktu ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii a na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle NATO. Report popisuje eskala\u010dn\u00ed a reak\u010dn\u00ed dynamiku mezi z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdmi akt\u00e9ry, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jeho hlavn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st pojedn\u00e1v\u00e1 o hlavn\u00edch zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch poznatc\u00edch a ponau\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9 z dan\u00e9 hry vyplynuly. V z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti report navrhuje dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9 priority, oblasti z\u00e1jmu a otev\u0159en\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky, kter\u00e9 z\u016fstaly nezodpov\u011bzeny. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st obsahu tohoto reportu neodr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed stanoviska \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu ani konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed instituce. Text se, stejn\u011b jako simulace, soust\u0159ed\u00ed na euroatlantick\u00fd aspekt p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 eskalace a obsahov\u011b pouze shrnuje nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kroky vybran\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f. Nejedn\u00e1 se tak o komplexn\u00ed p\u0159ehled v\u0161ech hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f a v\u0161ech jejich krok\u016f.<\/p><h3><br \/>Auto\u0159i<strong>:<\/strong><\/h3><ul><li><strong>Ond\u0159ej M\u00e1lek <\/strong>&#8211; Analytik, Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed centrum Evropsk\u00e9 hodnoty (EVC)<\/li><li><strong>Tom Abram <\/strong>&#8211; V\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk, Fondation pour la Recherche Strat\u00e9gique (FRS)<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-4839ba4 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"4839ba4\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-71fbcf4\" data-id=\"71fbcf4\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f843e94 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"f843e94\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c9729b7 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c9729b7\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-ff8cd4d\" data-id=\"ff8cd4d\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-13cf0d2 elementor-align-justify elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"13cf0d2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/FRS-EVC-TTX-Report_OM_TA_SM_OM_TASM.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">St\u00e1hnout v angli\u010dtin\u011b<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This report is based on a closed-door crisis simulation of a so-called dual-escalation scenario organized by the European Values Center for Security Policy (EVC) in cooperation with the Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS) in Paris in September 2025. The exercise focused on various security and political-economic dimensions of a potential simultaneous conflict emerging in East [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":42908,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[126,138],"tags":[552,581],"class_list":["post-42907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-red-watch-reports","category-reports","tag-ondrej-malek","tag-tom-abram"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>East Asia and Europe Dual Contingency Simulation - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"East Asia and Europe Dual Contingency Simulation - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This report is based on a closed-door crisis simulation of a so-called dual-escalation scenario organized by the European Values Center for Security Policy (EVC) in cooperation with the Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS) in Paris in September 2025. The exercise focused on various security and political-economic dimensions of a potential simultaneous conflict emerging in East [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-21T13:56:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-21T13:58:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/frs-report-web.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2160\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1136\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"K\u00e1ja Kabe\u0161ov\u00e1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Napsal(a)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"K\u00e1ja Kabe\u0161ov\u00e1\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Odhadovan\u00e1 doba \u010dten\u00ed\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minuty\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"K\u00e1ja Kabe\u0161ov\u00e1\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/1dad131c1c5d60a777b1a204a2c2605c\"},\"headline\":\"East Asia and Europe Dual Contingency Simulation\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-21T13:56:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-21T13:58:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":424,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/04\\\/frs-report-web.png\",\"keywords\":[\"Ond\u0159ej M\u00e1lek\",\"Tom Abram\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Red Watch reports\",\"Reports\"],\"inLanguage\":\"cs\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/east-asia-and-europe-dual-contingency-simulation\\\/\",\"name\":\"East Asia and Europe Dual Contingency Simulation - 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