{"id":39822,"date":"2025-06-10T12:37:35","date_gmt":"2025-06-10T10:37:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=39822"},"modified":"2025-06-18T12:00:08","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T10:00:08","slug":"report-eu-and-nato-decision-making-during-a-potential-joint-russian-and-chinese-strategic-escalation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/report-eu-and-nato-decision-making-during-a-potential-joint-russian-and-chinese-strategic-escalation\/","title":{"rendered":"Report: Rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed EU a NATO b\u011bhem potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 eskalace Ruska a \u010c\u00edny"},"content":{"rendered":"
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P\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 v\u00fdchodoasijsk\u00e1 krize v podob\u011b konfliktu nebo krize zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed Tchaj-wan by mohla p\u0159edstavovat komplexn\u00ed soubor sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f, kter\u00e9 by v\u00fdznamn\u011b ovlivnily mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy, zejm\u00e9na mezi Evropskou uni\u00ed, Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a v\u00fdchodoasijsk\u00fdmi demokraciemi. Rusko, \u010c\u00edna, Severn\u00ed Korea a \u00cdr\u00e1n mezit\u00edm vytvo\u0159ily jasn\u011b nep\u0159\u00e1telskou geopolitickou osu. Navzdory kritick\u00e9 povaze t\u011bchto potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f chyb\u00ed v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b mezi z\u00e1stupci a experty EU a NATO komplexn\u00ed porozum\u011bn\u00ed a p\u0159ipravenost, a to jak na institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni, tak na \u00farovni \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.
N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed report vych\u00e1z\u00ed z uzav\u0159en\u00e9ho cvi\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9 provedlo Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed centrum Evropsk\u00e9 hodnoty (EVC) a Nadace Friedricha Naumanna (FNF). Podrobn\u011b popisuje p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159ijat\u00e1 aktivn\u00edmi akt\u00e9ry a n\u00e1slednou zp\u011btnou vazbu poskytnutou samotn\u00fdmi akt\u00e9ry a pozorovateli. Jej\u00edm c\u00edlem je rovn\u011b\u017e identifikovat potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed nedostatky v pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed a rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mohly b\u011bhem takov\u00e9 krize vzniknout.

A\u010dkoli tento report shroma\u017e\u010fuje n\u00e1zory vl\u00e1dn\u00edch i nevl\u00e1dn\u00edch odborn\u00edk\u016f, v\u00fdhradn\u00ed odpov\u011bdnost za kone\u010dn\u00e9 formulace nesou auto\u0159i – analytici Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho centra Evropsk\u00e9 hodnoty. Tato zpr\u00e1va nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt a nem\u011bla by b\u00fdt vykl\u00e1d\u00e1na jako vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed postoj\u016f osob nebo instituc\u00ed zapojen\u00fdch do t\u00e9to simulace. Z d\u016fvodu citlivosti nebude identita \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f zve\u0159ejn\u011bna. Obsah neodr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed form\u00e1ln\u00ed postoje jak\u00e9hokoli st\u00e1tu nebo instituce v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u017eivot\u011b. C\u00edlem t\u00e9to fiktivn\u00ed simulace je poskytnout informace pro pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u017eivot\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee ukazuje, jak by se takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 eskalace na dvou front\u00e1ch mohl odehr\u00e1t a jak by jednotliv\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a instituce mohly reagovat.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tSt\u00e1hnout v angli\u010dtin\u011b<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A potential East Asian contingency, in the form of a conflict or a crisis involving Taiwan, could present a complex set of scenarios that would significantly impact international relations, particularly between the European Union, the United States, and East Asian democracies. Meanwhile, Russia, China, North Korea and Iran have formed a clearly hostile geopolitical axis. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":39824,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[126,138],"tags":[506,107,495,538,552],"class_list":["post-39822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-red-watch-reports","category-reports","tag-david-toman","tag-jakub-janda","tag-marcin-jerzewski","tag-olimpia-kot","tag-ondrej-malek"],"yoast_head":"\nReport: EU and NATO Decision-Making During a Potential Joint Russian and Chinese Strategic Escalation - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/report-eu-and-nato-decision-making-during-a-potential-joint-russian-and-chinese-strategic-escalation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Report: EU and NATO Decision-Making During a Potential Joint Russian and Chinese Strategic Escalation - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A potential East Asian contingency, in the form of a conflict or a crisis involving Taiwan, could present a complex set of scenarios that would significantly impact international relations, particularly between the European Union, the United States, and East Asian democracies. Meanwhile, Russia, China, North Korea and Iran have formed a clearly hostile geopolitical axis. 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