{"id":39005,"date":"2025-02-25T12:03:34","date_gmt":"2025-02-25T10:03:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=39005"},"modified":"2025-02-27T13:57:58","modified_gmt":"2025-02-27T11:57:58","slug":"trump-era-arms-deals-revived-are-taiwans-big-guns-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/trump-era-arms-deals-revived-are-taiwans-big-guns-back\/","title":{"rendered":"Tchaj-wan zbroj\u00ed: skute\u010dn\u00e1 obrana, nebo jen drah\u00e1 fata morg\u00e1na?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Co se d\u011bje?<\/h2>

V\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy se Washington navrac\u00ed k transak\u010dn\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edstupu k\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm vztah\u016fm, se vyno\u0159ily zpr\u00e1vy<\/a> o tom, \u017ee Tchaj-wan pl\u00e1nuje dal\u0161\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 akvizice zbran\u00ed<\/strong>, vojensk\u00fdch technologi\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00edch obrann\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Tchaj-pej n\u011bco takov\u00e9ho signalizovala<\/a> ji\u017e v\u00a0listopadu minul\u00e9ho roku v\u00a0reakci na v\u00fdsledek prezidentsk\u00e9 volby ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Nyn\u00ed se v\u0161ak zd\u00e1, \u017ee pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 transakce za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed nab\u00fdvat konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch obrys\u016f a velk\u00e9 akvizice se schyluj\u00ed ke sv\u00e9mu uskute\u010dn\u011bn\u00ed. P\u0159esto\u017ee ohledn\u011b cel\u00e9 situace z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 mnoho otazn\u00edk\u016f, je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed zv\u00e1\u017eit \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed kontext cel\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti. Zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm bude Tchaj-pej nakupovat obrann\u00e9 prost\u0159edky \u2013 zejm\u00e9na od Washingtonu \u2013 m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt toti\u017e dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e9 d\u016fsledky pro \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou obranu ostrova p\u0159ed mo\u017en\u00fdm \u00fatokem \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky (\u010cLR).<\/strong><\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Jak\u00e9 jsou \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed souvislosti?<\/h2>

Odhady rozsahu nov\u011b vyjedn\u00e1van\u00fdch akvizic se sice li\u0161\u00ed, av\u0161ak podle dostupn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f se jedn\u00e1 o n\u00e1kupy v\u00a0hodnot\u011b mezi 7 a 10 miliardami dolar\u016f<\/strong>, tud\u00ed\u017e o v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stku, ne\u017e byl cel\u00fd obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky v\u00a0roce 2024. Vl\u00e1da v Tchaj-peji se t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem sna\u017e\u00ed demonstrovat navenek sv\u00e9 odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed br\u00e1nit ostrov p\u0159ed hrozbou ze strany \u010c\u00edny a tak\u00e9 se p\u0159izp\u016fsobit na transak\u010dn\u00edmu stylu politiky staronov\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta<\/strong>. Ten ostrovn\u00ed zemi n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t ost\u0159e kritizoval<\/a> mj. za to, \u017ee pro svou obranu nevyv\u00edj\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, \u010di za obchodn\u00ed deficit, je\u017e je tradi\u010dn\u00edm trnem v\u00a0oku \u0161\u00e9fa B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu. I proto tchajwansk\u00fd prezident Laj \u010cching-te (\u8cf4\u6e05\u5fb7) ned\u00e1vno ozn\u00e1mil<\/a> z\u00e1vazek vy\u010dlenit na obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det zem\u011b alespo\u0148 3 % HDP, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by zabil dv\u011b mouchy jednou ranou a odpov\u011bd\u011bl tak na ob\u011b tyto v\u00fdtky ze strany USA. To se v\u0161ak st\u00e1le m\u00edj\u00ed s\u00a0p\u0159edstavou americk\u00fdch republik\u00e1n\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed Tchaj-wan tla\u010d\u00ed k\u00a0navy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed obrann\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu na 5 % HDP, zat\u00edmco samotn\u00fd Donald Trump navrhuje a\u017e nerealistick\u00fdch 10%.<\/p>

Konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed obsah n\u00e1kup\u016f je zat\u00edm nezn\u00e1m\u00fd, podle anonymn\u00edch zdroj\u016f obezn\u00e1men\u00fdch se situac\u00ed m\u00e1 v\u0161ak bal\u00ed\u010dek obsahovat mimo jin\u00e9 rakety do syst\u00e9m\u016f HIMARS nebo st\u0159ely s\u00a0plochou dr\u00e1hou letu ur\u010den\u00e9 k\u00a0ochran\u011b pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch oblast\u00ed. Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady a b\u00fdval\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Joseph Wu (Wu \u010cao-sie, \u5433\u91d7\u71ee) v\u0161ak prohl\u00e1sil,<\/a> \u017ee a\u010dkoliv obrann\u00fd establishment Tchaj-wanu prozat\u00edm st\u00e1le prom\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my jsou pro obranu ostrova neju\u017eite\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, maj\u00ed nov\u00e9 akvizice zahrnovat jak levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed polo\u017eky ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm mno\u017estv\u00ed, tak i n\u011bkter\u00e9 velmi drah\u00e9 a sofistikovan\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my.<\/strong> Dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed z\u00a0n\u00e1kup\u016f uskute\u010dn\u011bn\u00fdch b\u011bhem prvn\u00edho Trumpova prezidentstv\u00ed jsou nav\u00edc zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e9 a Tchaj-pej na n\u011b v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech mus\u00ed n\u011bkolik let \u010dekat. Trump\u016fv poradce pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Mike Waltz se nicm\u00e9n\u011b ji\u017e zav\u00e1zal<\/a>, \u017ee se zasad\u00ed o to, aby se tyto dod\u00e1vky co nejv\u00edce urychlily. D\u00edky takov\u00fdmto indici\u00edm je mo\u017en\u00e9 se domn\u00edvat, \u017ee se Tchaj-wan sna\u017e\u00ed op\u011bt uch\u00fdlit k\u00a0n\u00e1kup\u016fm tradi\u010dn\u00edch (av\u0161ak velmi drah\u00fdch) obrann\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f, jejich\u017e po\u010dty se v\u0161ak nikdy nebudou moci vyrovnat vojensk\u00e9mu arzen\u00e1lu jeho protivn\u00edka<\/strong> na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b Tchajwansk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.<\/p>

Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se v\u00a0minul\u00fdch letech Bidenova administrativa zdr\u00e1hala ostrovn\u00edmu st\u00e1tu prod\u00e1vat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed mno\u017estv\u00ed tradi\u010dn\u00edch zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, jako jsou nap\u0159. tanky, letadla nebo v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b, a tla\u010dila vl\u00e1du v\u00a0Tchaj-peji sp\u00ed\u0161e k\u00a0n\u00e1kupu v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho mno\u017estv\u00ed levn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obrann\u00fdch a bojov\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f, kter\u00e9 se daj\u00ed l\u00e9pe vyu\u017e\u00edt v\u00a0asymetrick\u00e9m zp\u016fsobu veden\u00ed konfliktu<\/strong>, ke kter\u00e9mu by se Tchajwanci v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ozbrojen\u00e9ho st\u0159etu s\u00a0\u010cLR museli s\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed uch\u00fdlit. V\u00a0celkov\u00e9m objemu nicm\u00e9n\u011b hodnota prodeje zbran\u00ed Tchaj-wanu b\u011bhem Bidenova prezidentstv\u00ed zdaleka nedos\u00e1hla<\/a> hodnoty prodej\u016f b\u011bhem prvn\u00ed administrativy Donalda Trumpa, kdy n\u00e1kupy Tchaj-wanu zahrnovaly pov\u011bt\u0161inou tradi\u010dn\u00ed, drah\u00e9 a sofistikovan\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my v\u00a0men\u0161\u00edm mno\u017estv\u00ed. Je v\u0161ak t\u0159eba dodat, \u017ee v roce 2022 americk\u00fd kongres schv\u00e1lil legislativu, kter\u00e1 tehdej\u0161\u00edmu prezidentovi Joeovi Bidenovi umo\u017enila op\u011bt vyu\u017e\u00edt pravomoc k\u00a0poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed <\/strong>p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 pomoci Tchaj-wanu<\/strong><\/a>, je\u017e pak b\u011bhem dvou let dos\u00e1hla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 miliardy dolar\u016f.<\/p>

Z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u0161ak nejist\u00e9, zda se nov\u011b pl\u00e1novan\u00fd obran\u00fd rozpo\u010det vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany DPP poda\u0159\u00ed prosadit \u2013 vzhledem ke snah\u00e1m opozi\u010dn\u00edch KMT a TPP<\/a> omezit fungov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdkonn\u00e9 moci t\u0159eba i za cenu v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zranitelnosti ostrova p\u0159ed \u010d\u00ednskou agres\u00ed. Laj minul\u00fd p\u00e1tek prohl\u00e1sil,<\/a> \u017ee vl\u00e1da ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu vyu\u017eije zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 prost\u0159edky, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se pokus\u00ed obej\u00edt opozic\u00ed redukovan\u00fd n\u00e1vrh obrann\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu<\/strong>. K\u00a0tomu chce DPP vyu\u017e\u00edt rekordn\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy s argumentem, \u017ee jde o mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed nezbytn\u00e1 pro zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti. Mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 v\u00fddaje v\u0161ak je\u0161t\u011b mus\u00ed schv\u00e1lit Legislativn\u00ed dv\u016fr, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee KMT a TPP budou m\u00edt mo\u017enost je op\u011bt zablokovat. I proto m\u016f\u017eeme brzy o\u010dek\u00e1vat dal\u0161\u00ed vnitropolitickou bitvu o bezpe\u010dnost ostrova.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Pro\u010d je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9?<\/h2>

Pokud by se \u010cLR poda\u0159ilo z\u00edskat kontrolu nad Tchaj-wanem, znamenalo by to nejen v\u00fdznamnou erozi americk\u00e9 moci v\u00a0regionu, ale tak\u00e9 oslaben\u00ed v\u0161ech dosavadn\u00edch proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch alianc\u00ed v\u00a0Indo-Pacifiku. To by mohlo m\u00edt dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e9 politick\u00e9, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed i ekonomick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky \u2013 od v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho pos\u00edlen\u00ed mocensk\u00e9 pozice \u010cLR a\u017e k\u00a0proliferaci jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed ve sv\u011bt\u011b. Vojen\u0161t\u00ed odborn\u00edci se zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b shoduj\u00ed na tom<\/a>, \u017ee Tchaj-wan by si m\u011bl osvojit<\/strong> sp\u00ed\u0161e tzv. dikobraz\u00ed strategii<\/em><\/strong>, kter\u00e1 by ostrovn\u00ed demokracii pomohla jej\u00edho mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho protivn\u00edka na pevnin\u011b l\u00e9pe odstra\u0161it. Takov\u00e1 strategie vy\u017eaduje investice do v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho mno\u017estv\u00ed men\u0161\u00edch, mobiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch a levn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obrann\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f, kter\u00e9 by zemi pomohly p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd \u00fader a n\u00e1sledn\u011b zp\u016fsobit invazn\u00edm sil\u00e1m t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. Tchaj-pej by proto m\u011bla opatrn\u011b zv\u00e1\u017eit, zda up\u0159ednostn\u00ed pochlebov\u00e1n\u00ed Washingtonu oproti skute\u010dn\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 strategii.<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What is happening? In light of an increasingly transactional approach in Washington\u2019s pursuit of international relations, Taiwan is planning extensive acquisitions of weapons, military technology, and other defense capabilities from the United States (US). Taipei had already sent similar signals in November of last year in response to the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":39007,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[552],"class_list":["post-39005","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-ondrej-malek"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump-Era Arms Deals Revived: Are Taiwan\u2019s Big Guns Back? - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/trump-era-arms-deals-revived-are-taiwans-big-guns-back\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump-Era Arms Deals Revived: Are Taiwan\u2019s Big Guns Back? - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"What is happening? In light of an increasingly transactional approach in Washington\u2019s pursuit of international relations, Taiwan is planning extensive acquisitions of weapons, military technology, and other defense capabilities from the United States (US). Taipei had already sent similar signals in November of last year in response to the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. 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In light of an increasingly transactional approach in Washington\u2019s pursuit of international relations, Taiwan is planning extensive acquisitions of weapons, military technology, and other defense capabilities from the United States (US). Taipei had already sent similar signals in November of last year in response to the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. 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