{"id":38904,"date":"2025-02-11T12:00:52","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T10:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=38904"},"modified":"2025-02-18T18:58:41","modified_gmt":"2025-02-18T16:58:41","slug":"fast-and-furious-2-china-and-trumps-tariff-chicken-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/fast-and-furious-2-china-and-trumps-tariff-chicken-game\/","title":{"rendered":"Rychle a zb\u011bsile 2: \u010c\u00edna a Trumpova celn\u00ed hra na ku\u0159e"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Co se d\u011bje?<\/h2>

Ne<\/strong>cel\u00e9 dva t\u00fddny pot\u00e9<\/strong>, co se ujal prezidentsk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu, ozn\u00e1mil<\/a> Donald Trump zaveden\u00ed nov\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch bari\u00e9r v\u00a0podob\u011b plo\u0161n\u00fdch cel ve v\u00fd\u0161i 25% na dovoz zbo\u017e\u00ed z\u00a0Kanady a Mexika a dal\u0161\u00edch 10% na dovoz z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny (\u010cLR) nad r\u00e1mec ji\u017e st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch cel. Mexick\u00e1 prezidentka a kanadsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r obratem ozn\u00e1mili recipro\u010dn\u00ed odvetn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, zat\u00edmco veden\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 komunistick\u00e9 strany (KS \u010c\u00edny) na sebe s\u00a0reakc\u00ed na kroky B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu nechalo n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed \u010dekat. Neub\u011bhlo ani 48 hodin<\/strong> a Trump po s\u00e9rii rozhovor\u016f s\u00a0l\u00eddry obou sousedn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f prohl\u00e1sil,<\/a> \u017ee souhlas\u00ed s\u00a0odlo\u017een\u00edm za\u010d\u00e1tku platnosti nov\u00fdch celn\u00edch bari\u00e9r o 30 dn\u00ed. Zaveden\u00edm cel mezit\u00edm Trump pohrozil tak\u00e9 Panam\u011b, kter\u00e1 se n\u00e1sledn\u011b rozhodla neprodlou\u017eit v roce 2027<\/a> memorandum o P\u00e1su a stezce s\u00a0\u010cLR. Peking mezit\u00edm cel\u00e9 d\u011bn\u00ed sleduje zpovzd\u00e1l\u00ed.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Jak\u00e9 jsou \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed souvislosti?<\/h2>

B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/a> jako d\u016fvod zaveden\u00ed nov\u00fdch celn\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed ileg\u00e1ln\u00ed migraci a pa\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed fentanylu<\/strong> do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Ob\u011b zem\u011b soused\u00edc\u00ed s USA proto s\u00a0odkazem na odlo\u017een\u00ed platnosti tohoto na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed ozn\u00e1mily dal\u0161\u00ed pos\u00edlen\u00ed ochrany spole\u010dn\u00fdch hranic. Je v\u0161ak p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm sporn\u00e9, jak re\u00e1ln\u00fd dopad by p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 cla m\u011bla na ileg\u00e1ln\u00ed migraci a obchod s\u00a0drogami \u2013 koneckonc\u016f, drogov\u00e9 kartely ani ileg\u00e1ln\u00ed imigranti p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f cla p\u0159i p\u0159ekocen\u00ed hranice neplat\u00ed. Trump\u016fv krok by tak sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle omezit tok fentanylu do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f s\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed nedos\u00e1hl, zat\u00edmco ekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky by pro v\u0161echny severoamerick\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mohly b\u00fdt z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9. Zd\u00e1 se proto, \u017ee Trump hrozbu cly vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e jako n\u00e1stroj k\u00a0vytvo\u0159en\u00ed n\u00e1tlaku<\/strong> na sv\u00e9 prot\u011bj\u0161ky a zostra tak rozehr\u00e1v\u00e1 hru na ku\u0159e<\/em>, ze kter\u00e9 douf\u00e1 v\u017edy vyj\u00edt jako ten, kter\u00fd jako prvn\u00ed neuhne. V\u00a0s\u00e1zce v\u0161ak nejsou pouze ekonomick\u00e9 vazby Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f s\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edmi zem\u011bmi, ale i reputace a kredibilita Washingtonu jako\u017eto z\u00e1kladn\u00edho pil\u00ed\u0159e sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed zalo\u017een\u00e9m na pravidlech a na principech voln\u00e9ho obchodu. Donald Trump tedy rozehr\u00e1v\u00e1 velmi riskantn\u00ed hru.<\/p>

Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 kroky B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu jsou toti\u017e bedliv\u011b sledov\u00e1ny nejen ze star\u00e9ho kontinentu, jemu\u017e Trump rovn\u011b\u017e hroz\u00ed zaveden\u00edm cel, av\u0161ak zejm\u00e9na z\u00a0Pekingu, kter\u00fd se z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00a0dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b stane dal\u0161\u00edm Trumpov\u00fdm ter\u010dem. Je proto velice d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, jak sou\u010dasn\u00e1 severoamerick\u00e1 roztr\u017eka dopadne. Kl\u00ed\u010dovou ot\u00e1zkou je to, jak budou kroky jednotliv\u00fdch stran interpretov\u00e1ny a jak\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 \u00fastupky kdo ud\u011bl\u00e1. \u010cLR, kter\u00e1 je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm trnem v\u00a0oku staronov\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta, se na dal\u0161\u00ed kolo t\u00e9to obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky ji\u017e n\u011bkolik let pe\u010dliv\u011b p\u0159ipravuje<\/a>, d\u00edky \u010demu\u017e nen\u00ed v\u016f\u010di restrikc\u00edm voln\u00e9ho obchodu ze strany Washingtonu ji\u017e tak zdaniteln\u00e1 jako v minulosti. Nav\u00edc se zd\u00e1, \u017ee to byl pr\u00e1v\u011b Trump, kter\u00fd v t\u00e9to v severoamerick\u00e9 h\u0159e na ku\u0159e<\/em> ucukl jako prvn\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty u\u017e d\u00e1vno nejsou jedin\u00fdm hlavn\u00edm odbyti\u0161t\u011bm \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f. \u010cLR dnes ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 podstatnou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u011btov\u00fdch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f, je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm obchodn\u00edm partnerem v\u00edce ne\u017e 120 zem\u00ed sv\u011bta, vyv\u00edj\u00ed enormn\u00ed snahu<\/a> o diverzifikaci a rozvoj obchodu se zem\u011bmi Asie, Latinsk\u00e9 Ameriky i Afriky. Sna\u017e\u00ed se tak\u00e9 p\u0159eorientovat sv\u016fj ekonomick\u00fd model sm\u011brem k\u00a0pos\u00edlen\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed popt\u00e1vky a spot\u0159eby a tak i zlep\u0161it <\/strong>odolnost sv\u00e9 ekonomiky v\u016f\u010di vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ot\u0159es\u016fm<\/strong>. V\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b se dokonce v\u00a0r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edprav na st\u0159et s\u00a0Trumpovou administrativou sna\u017e\u00ed o zlep\u0161en\u00ed po\u0161ramocen\u00fdch vtah\u016f<\/a> se sv\u00fdmi bezprost\u0159edn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi sousedy \u2013 Indi\u00ed, Japonskem \u010di Austr\u00e1li\u00ed.<\/p>

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 odvetn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed v\u016f\u010di nov\u011b zaveden\u00fdm cl\u016fm jsou odborn\u00edky pova\u017eovan\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e za m\u00edrn\u00e1, av\u0161ak p\u0159edem velmi dob\u0159e promy\u0161len\u00e1.<\/a> T\u00edm si Peking z\u0159ejm\u011b vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed prostor pro dal\u0161\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, ani\u017e by ztratil tv\u00e1\u0159, jeliko\u017e nov\u00e1 celn\u00ed v\u00e1lka by mohla i p\u0159es dlouholet\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpravy sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed \u010d\u00ednskou ekonomiku je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce po\u0161kodit. Je v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee se mezi dv\u011bma nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi ekonomikami sv\u011bta jedn\u00e1 teprve o prvn\u00ed salvu v\u00fdst\u0159el\u016f. Zalekl se \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd drak \u0161\u00edlence v\u00a0B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b<\/em>, nebo se dok\u00e1zal z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch st\u0159et\u016f pou\u010dit?<\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Pro\u010d je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9?<\/h2>

Je dob\u0159e zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee si Donald Trump buduje pov\u011bst nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9ho <\/em><\/a>v\u016fdce<\/u><\/em>, kter\u00fd je schopn\u00fd v\u0161eho a tud\u00ed\u017e je od n\u011bj mo\u017en\u00e9 \u010dekat naprosto cokoliv \u2013 co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jeho v\u00fdhr\u016f\u017eky v r\u00e1mci spor\u016f mohou b\u00fdt my\u0161leny v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. Pokud se v\u0161ak uk\u00e1\u017ee, \u017ee Trump sv\u00e9 v\u00fdhr\u016f\u017eky zcela v\u00e1\u017en\u011b nemysl\u00ed a nedonut\u00ed nyn\u00ed Mexiko a Kanadu k\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm \u00fastupk\u016fm, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jeho pe\u010dliv\u011b budovan\u00e1 pov\u011bst v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161ramocena. To by pak mohlo oslabit j<\/strong>eho d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost p\u0159i vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed<\/strong> se st\u00e1ty p\u0159edstavuj\u00edc\u00edmi mnohem v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed strategickou v\u00fdzvu \u2013 zejm\u00e9na s \u010cLR. Ur\u010dit\u00e9 ponau\u010den\u00ed si v\u0161ak pro budouc\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee vz\u00edt tak\u00e9 \u010cR a dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty Evropsk\u00e9 unie, po kter\u00fdch bude Trump s\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed po\u017eadovat maximalistick\u00e9 v\u00fddaje na obranu \u010di r\u016fzn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fastupky v ekonomick\u00fdch a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch. Zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm se sou\u010dasn\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed konfrontace bude vyv\u00edjet, tak poskytne cenn\u00e9 informace o tom, jak by mohla dopadnout i dal\u0161\u00ed budouc\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What\u2019s Happening? Less than two weeks after taking the presidential office, Donald Trump announced new trade barriers, including a 25% sweeping tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and 10% on imports from the People\u2019s Republic of China (PRC). In response, the Mexican president and Canadian prime minister immediately announced reciprocal countermeasures, while the leadership […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":38909,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[552],"class_list":["post-38904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-ondrej-malek"],"yoast_head":"\nFast and Furious 2: China and Trump\u2019s Tariff Chicken Game - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/fast-and-furious-2-china-and-trumps-tariff-chicken-game\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fast and Furious 2: China and Trump\u2019s Tariff Chicken Game - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"What\u2019s Happening? Less than two weeks after taking the presidential office, Donald Trump announced new trade barriers, including a 25% sweeping tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and 10% on imports from the People\u2019s Republic of China (PRC). 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