{"id":38339,"date":"2024-11-26T12:06:04","date_gmt":"2024-11-26T10:06:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=38339"},"modified":"2024-11-27T18:51:48","modified_gmt":"2024-11-27T16:51:48","slug":"let-the-money-talk-trump-to-and-the-future-of-vietnam-us-relations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/let-the-money-talk-trump-to-and-the-future-of-vietnam-us-relations\/","title":{"rendered":"Nech\u0165 promluv\u00ed pen\u00edze! Trump, T\u00f4 a budoucnost vietnamsko-americk\u00fdch vztah\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Co se d\u011bje?<\/h2>

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Vietnam za sebou maj\u00ed velmi slo\u017eitou a bou\u0159livou historii vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdch vztah\u016f a v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 chv\u00edli se ocitaj\u00ed na k\u0159i\u017eovatce v\u00a0souvislosti se zm\u011bnami ve veden\u00ed v\u00a0\u010dele obou zem\u00ed. Zejm\u00e9na Vietnam v\u00a0ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 dob\u011b za\u017eil mnoho politick\u00fdch machinac\u00ed na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovni. Smrt\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9ho gener\u00e1ln\u00edho tajemn\u00edka Komunistick\u00e9 strany Vietnamu (CPV) Nguy\u1ec5n Ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdnga za\u010dalo obdob\u00ed nestability, b\u011bhem n\u011bho\u017e se v kontextu kontroverzn\u00ed protikorup\u010dn\u00ed kampan\u011b n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t zm\u011bnil prezident. Nakonec se v\u0161ak gener\u00e1ln\u00edm tajemn\u00edkem CPV a nov\u00fdm prezidentem zem\u011b stal b\u00fdval\u00fd ministr ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti T\u00f4 L\u00e2m.<\/strong> Ten se kr\u00e1tce pot\u00e9 vzdal prezidentsk\u00e9 funkce ve prosp\u011bch gener\u00e1la L\u01b0\u01a1ng C\u01b0\u1eddnga. Po zvolen\u00ed Donalda Trumpa do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu bude pro budouc\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u011b-politick\u00fd a ekonomick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj v\u00a0Indo-Pacifiku nanejv\u00fd\u0161 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, jak\u00fdm sm\u011brem se budou vztahy mezi ob\u011bma nov\u00fdmi vl\u00e1dami ub\u00edrat.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Jak\u00e9 jsou \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed souvislosti?<\/h2>

Vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee pro Vietnam je politick\u00e1 stabilita naprosto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm prvkem jeho sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho \u00fasp\u011bchu, bou\u0159liv\u00e9 zm\u011bny v\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch postech ve veden\u00ed st\u00e1tu<\/strong> b\u011bhem posledn\u00edch dvou let nebyly pro Hanoj v\u00a0o\u010d\u00edch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch partner\u016f tou nejlep\u0161\u00ed vizitkou. I p\u0159esto v\u0161ak zem\u011b v\u00a0post-pandemick\u00e9 dob\u011b zaznamenala rekordn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch investic<\/a> a je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za jednoho z\u00a0akt\u00e9r\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed nejv\u00edce vyd\u011blali na tzv. strategii de-riskingu,<\/strong> kterou uskute\u010d\u0148uj\u00ed vysokop\u0159\u00edjmov\u00e9 ekonomiky distancuj\u00edc\u00ed se od \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky. Probl\u00e9mem v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 <\/strong>p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed korupce<\/strong><\/a>, kv\u016fli n\u00ed\u017e se mnoho firem rozhodlo sm\u011b\u0159ovat sv\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed investice jinam nebo se z\u00a0Vietnamu dokonce \u00fapln\u011b st\u00e1hlo.<\/p>

T\u00f4 L\u00e2m nyn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 ot\u011b\u017ee moci pevn\u011b ve sv\u00fdch rukou a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee minim\u00e1ln\u011b do roku 2026, kdy se m\u00e1 uskute\u010dnit zased\u00e1n\u00ed sjezdu strany, aby si zvolila nov\u00e9 veden\u00ed, bude politick\u00e1 situace v\u00a0zemi pom\u011brn\u011b stabiln\u00ed. T\u00f4 L\u00e2m nicm\u00e9n\u011b nen\u00ed pouze autorit\u00e1\u0159em, ale tak\u00e9 pragmatikem a dob\u0159e ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee legitimita strany, a tud\u00ed\u017e i bezpe\u010dnost re\u017eimu, vych\u00e1z\u00ed z ekonomick\u00e9ho rozvoje zem\u011b. To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u017eivnou p\u016fdu pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj vztah\u016f se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty jako\u017eto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm a strategicky v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm partnerem Vietnamu. Zem\u011b mus\u00ed nad\u00e1le pomoci sv\u00e9 osobit\u00e9 \u201ebambusov\u00e9 diplomacii\u201c opatrn\u011b navigovat svou zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku p\u0159es st\u00e1le rozbou\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vody geopolitick\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed v indopacifick\u00e9m regionu.<\/p>

I p\u0159es n\u011bkter\u00e9 d\u00edl\u010d\u00ed probl\u00e9my, jako bylo nap\u0159. obch\u00e1zen\u00ed americk\u00fdch sankc\u00ed uvalen\u00fdch na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed nebo st\u00e1le se zvy\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed negativn\u00ed obchodn\u00ed bilance<\/a> v\u00a0neprosp\u011bch Washingtonu, znamenala pro Vietnam Trumpova prvn\u00ed administrativa v\u00fdznamn\u00fd posun ve vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdch vztaz\u00edch. Mezi \u00fasp\u011bchy lze po\u010d\u00edtat nap\u0159. v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 setk\u00e1n\u00ed a spole\u010dn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed politick\u00fdch \u0161pi\u010dek obou st\u00e1t\u016f, vz\u00e1jemnou pomoc v\u00a0dob\u011b koronavirov\u00e9 pandemie, rozvoj v oblasti bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed a obrann\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce v podob\u011b transferu americk\u00fdch kutr\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f Vietnamsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed str\u00e1\u017ei a pop\u0159. tak\u00e9 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy dvou americk\u00fdch letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed ve Vietnamsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstavech.<\/p>

V\u00a0souvislosti s obavami Hanoje z\u00a0rostouc\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 asertivity v\u00a0regionu pomohly tyto ud\u00e1losti \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b p\u0159eklenout mnoh\u00e9 vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 k\u0159ivdy a antipatie z minulosti a pragmaticky tak vybudovat strategickou d\u016fv\u011bru<\/strong> mezi ob\u011bma b\u00fdval\u00fdmi nep\u0159\u00e1teli. Leto\u0161n\u00ed pozvednut\u00ed vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho vztahu na ucelen\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed<\/em><\/strong><\/a>, kter\u00e9 je nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enou \u00farovn\u00ed vztah\u016f mezi ob\u011bma stranami, lze pova\u017eovat za vrcholn\u00fd bod tohoto sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed. Washington a Hanoj tak dokonce p\u0159esko\u010dili \u00farove\u0148 prost\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed. <\/em>Vietnam t\u00edmto krokem sice riskoval hn\u011bv ze strany Pekingu, av\u0161ak od Washingtonu dostal nab\u00eddku, kter\u00e1 se neodm\u00edt\u00e1<\/a> \u2013 vytvo\u0159it z Vietnamu v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 centrum \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed v\u00a0oblasti v\u00fdroby polovodi\u010d\u016f<\/strong>, je\u017e bude integrovan\u00e9 v\u00a0dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u00edch, kter\u00e9 jsou p\u0159\u00e1telsky naklon\u011bn\u00e9 Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm. Tato nab\u00eddka je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed americk\u00e9 politiky tzv. friend-shoringu<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>

Z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejist\u00e9, zda Washington a Hanoj udr\u017e\u00ed takto pozitivn\u00ed dynamiku i s nov\u00fdmi vedouc\u00edmi p\u0159edstaviteli v\u00a0\u010dele sv\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Vzhledem k povaze obou budouc\u00edch leader\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed d\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159ednost sp\u00ed\u0161e transak\u010dn\u00edm vztah\u016fm p\u0159ed ideologick\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edstupy<\/a> , a tak\u00e9 vzhledem k jejich sd\u00edlen\u00e9mu pohledu na \u010d\u00ednskou hrozbu je v\u0161ak dob\u0159e mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee ob\u011b zem\u011b budou snadn\u011bji nach\u00e1zet spole\u010dn\u00e1 v\u00fdchodiska v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch dosud nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch. V\u00a0dob\u011b pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, kdy se ukazuje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my nejsou re\u00e1ln\u011b zdaleka tak \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9, jak Rusko na pap\u00ed\u0159e tvrd\u00ed, se Vietnamu otev\u00edr\u00e1 prostor pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch technologi\u00ed. To by mohlo v\u00a0kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku sn\u00ed\u017eit obchodn\u00ed p\u0159ebytek Vietnamu v\u016f\u010di Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm<\/strong>, kter\u00fd je trnem v\u00a0oku Donalda Trumpa. Ot\u00e1zkou tak\u00e9 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, jak se bude Trumpova administrativa stav\u011bt k\u00a0poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v ve Vietnamu. P\u0159esto\u017ee je v\u0161eobecn\u011b zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee Trump je v\u00a0t\u011bchto ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch notoricky slep\u00fd, jeho budouc\u00ed ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Marco Rubio m\u00e1 za sebou dlouhou historii<\/a> boje proti poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v pr\u00e1v\u011b v zem\u00edch Jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie, Vietnam nevyj\u00edmaje.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Pro\u010d je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9?<\/h2>

Znovuzvolen\u00fd prezident Trump m\u00e1 v\u0161ak ve Vietnamu nov\u011b tak\u00e9 soukrom\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy. Jeho rodinn\u00e1 firma Trump Organization ned\u00e1vno podepsala memorandum<\/strong><\/a> o v\u00fdstavb\u011b luxusn\u00edho golfov\u00e9ho<\/strong> rezortu<\/strong> v hodnot\u011b 1,5 miliardy dolar\u016f v provincii Hung Yen \u2013 odkud poch\u00e1z\u00ed stranick\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f T\u00f4 L\u00e2m \u2013 u \u010deho\u017e byl Trump dokonce osobn\u011b p\u0159\u00edtomen. V\u00a0tomto ohledu tak nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zdali bude Trump ve Vietnamu zastupovat sp\u00ed\u0161e z\u00e1jmy sv\u00e9 administrativy, nebo naopak sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed podnikatelsk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy. Bude proto d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pe\u010dliv\u011b sledovat, zda se o zemi, jej\u00ed\u017e pozitivn\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed obraz je nyn\u00ed v\u00a0jeho osobn\u00edm z\u00e1jmu, bude i nad\u00e1le vyjad\u0159ovat jako o \u201enejhor\u0161\u00edm zneu\u017eivateli<\/em><\/a>\u201c americk\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu, jako tomu bylo v\u00a0roce 2019. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 bude i to, jak\u00fd dopad budou m\u00edt jeho soukrom\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed aktivity, evidentn\u00ed st\u0159et z\u00e1jm\u016f a <\/strong>p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 napojen\u00ed na vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed kliku KSV<\/strong><\/a> na v\u00fdvoj vztah\u016f mezi ob\u011bma st\u00e1ty. Jist\u00e9 je, \u017ee byznys bude v\u00a0tomto sm\u011bru hr\u00e1t kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli, nehled\u011b na to, zda se bude jednat o americk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 investice, prodej zbran\u00ed nebo o Trumpovy soukrom\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed aktivity.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What Is Happening?\u00a0 With their complex and tumultuous shared history, Washington and Hanoi now find themselves at the crossroads amid leadership change. Vietnam recently witnessed high-level political machinations in Hanoi. The death of former Secretary-General of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV) Nguy\u1ec5n Ph\u00fa Tr\u1ecdng ringed in a period of volatility, during which the presidency […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":38318,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[552],"class_list":["post-38339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-ondrej-malek"],"yoast_head":"\nLet the Money Talk! Trump, T\u00f4, and the Future of Vietnam-US Relations - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/let-the-money-talk-trump-to-and-the-future-of-vietnam-us-relations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Let the Money Talk! Trump, T\u00f4, and the Future of Vietnam-US Relations - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"What Is Happening?\u00a0 With their complex and tumultuous shared history, Washington and Hanoi now find themselves at the crossroads amid leadership change. Vietnam recently witnessed high-level political machinations in Hanoi. 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