{"id":35578,"date":"2024-02-06T12:03:44","date_gmt":"2024-02-06T10:03:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=35578"},"modified":"2024-03-11T15:30:53","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T13:30:53","slug":"never-grand-chinese-property-market-crisis-overview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/never-grand-chinese-property-market-crisis-overview\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u00e1d realitn\u00edho giganta Evergrande: P\u0159ehled krize \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho realitn\u00edho trhu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Co se d\u011bje?<\/h2>

Pouh\u00e9 dva t\u00fddny pot\u00e9, co \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 delegace v Davosu, veden\u00e1 premi\u00e9rem Li \u010cchiangem (\u674e\u5f37), p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dovala<\/a> sv\u011btov\u00e9 investory o r\u016fstu a stabilit\u011b \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, titulky m\u00e9di\u00ed ukazuj\u00ed pon\u011bkud jin\u00fd obr\u00e1zek. 29. ledna na\u0159\u00eddil hongkongsk\u00fd soud likvidaci China Evergrande Group<\/strong> (\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u96c6\u5718), jedn\u00e9 z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch realitn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b s\u00a0dluhy dosahuj\u00edc\u00edmi 300 miliard americk\u00fdch dolar\u016f v\u00a0z\u00e1vazc\u00edch.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Jak\u00e9 jsou \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed souvislosti?<\/h2>

V roce 2018 byla Evergrande v \u010c\u00edn\u011b druhou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a sv\u011btov\u011b nejhodnotn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed realitn\u00ed spole\u010dnost\u00ed<\/a>. Nyn\u00ed m\u00e1 nez\u00e1vid\u011bn\u00edhodn\u00fd status nejzadlu\u017een\u011bj\u0161\u00edho developera na sv\u011bt\u011b<\/strong>. Po selh\u00e1n\u00ed schopnosti spl\u00e1cet dluhy v roce 2021 pomohl z\u00e1nik Evergrande vyvolat sou\u010dasnou realitn\u00ed krizi v \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Od t\u00e9 doby spole\u010dnost navrhla n\u011bkolik pl\u00e1n\u016f na restrukturalizaci dluhu<\/a>, nicm\u00e9n\u011b minul\u00fd t\u00fdden soudkyn\u011b Lindy Chan dosp\u011bla k\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee \u201eu\u017e toho bylo dost<\/a>\u201c a hongkongsk\u00fd soud na\u0159\u00eddil likvidaci spole\u010dnosti.<\/p>

Zakladatel a gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel Evergrande Hui Ka Yan, tak\u00e9 zn\u00e1m\u00fd jako S\u00fc \u0164ia-jin (\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370), kter\u00fd byl sv\u00e9ho \u010dasu nejbohat\u0161\u00edm mu\u017eem \u010c\u00edny s\u00a0v\u00fdznamn\u00fdmi kontakty na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd establishment, je od lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed zadr\u017eov\u00e1n v\u00a0dom\u00e1c\u00edm v\u011bzen\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b bl\u00ed\u017ee nespecifikovan\u00fdch obvin\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>

V roce 2021 se Evergrande dostala na tituln\u00ed str\u00e1nky sv\u011btov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed se zpr\u00e1vami o z\u00e1kazn\u00edc\u00edch, kte\u0159\u00ed zaplatili za nemovitosti v budov\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 nebyly nikdy postaveny, nebo v\u00a0souvislosti s \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi m\u011bsty duch\u016f, kde str\u00e1daly pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9 bytov\u00e9 domy. A\u010dkoli se odhaduje, \u017ee 20 %<\/a> byt\u016f v \u010c\u00edn\u011b nen\u00ed obydlen\u00fdch, zem\u011b m\u00e1 st\u00e1le jednu z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u00farovn\u00ed obsazenosti nemovitosti vlastn\u00edky na sv\u011bt\u011b, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e 70 %<\/a> majetku obyvatel \u010c\u00edny je soust\u0159ed\u011bno pr\u00e1v\u011b v nemovitostech.<\/p>

U\u017e v roce 2016, kdy za\u010daly vych\u00e1zet nov\u00e9 p\u0159edpisy, uk\u00e1zal Peking, \u017ee si je v\u011bdom rizika realitn\u00ed bubliny a nutnosti stabilizovat p\u0159ekotn\u011b se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed realitn\u00ed sektor. Ve sv\u00e9m projevu na devaten\u00e1ct\u00e9m stranick\u00e9m sjezdu Si \u0164in-pching zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee \u201edomy jsou k bydlen\u00ed, nikoliv ke spekulac\u00edm\u201c. Tuto mantru od t\u00e9 doby \u010d\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 \u010dasto opakovali.<\/p>

V roce 2020 zavedla \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da pravidlo \u201et\u0159\u00ed \u010derven\u00fdch \u010dar\u201c (\u4e09\u689d\u7d05\u7dda), kter\u00e9 omezuje pom\u011br vlastn\u00edho kapit\u00e1lu, aktiv a dluhu k hotovosti, kterou m\u016f\u017ee developer dr\u017eet. Vl\u00e1da nyn\u00ed omezuje po\u010det nemovitost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si jednotlivci mohou koupit a vlastnit, a tak\u00e9 tla\u010d\u00ed na m\u00edstn\u00ed samospr\u00e1vy, aby sn\u00ed\u017eily svou finan\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1vislost na prodeji pozemk\u016f.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/h2>

Pro\u010d je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9?<\/h2>

Trh s nemovitostmi, kter\u00fd byl po desetilet\u00ed motorem rostouc\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomiky a tvo\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b jednu \u010dtvrtinu ekonomiky zem\u011b, je v nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu poklesu<\/a> za t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dev\u011bt let. Minul\u00fd rok zaznamenal jedny z nejprud\u0161\u00edch propad\u016f cen nemovitost\u00ed.<\/p>

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 ekonomika se st\u00e1le nevzpamatovala z postpandemick\u00e9ho zpomalen\u00ed a pot\u00fdk\u00e1 se s vysokou nezam\u011bstnanost\u00ed mlad\u00fdch lid\u00ed a bezprecedentn\u00edm poklesem exportu.<\/p>

Na m\u00edst\u011b jsou obavy<\/a> z deflace a potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159et\u011bzov\u00e9ho efektu v zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Vzhledem k vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 prov\u00e1zanosti bude d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pe\u010dliv\u011b sledovat kroky \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch regula\u010dn\u00edch org\u00e1n\u016f, jako jsou dotace a dal\u0161\u00ed podp\u016frn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 budou pro \u010c\u00ednu velmi drah\u00e1.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What is happening? Just two weeks after a Chinese delegation in Davos, led by the Chinese premier Li Qiang (\u674e\u5f37), was trying to convince the world\u2019s investors of China\u2019s growth and stability, media headlines painted a very different picture. On January 29, a court in Hong Kong ordered liquidation of the China Evergrande Group (\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u96c6\u5718), […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":35579,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[534],"class_list":["post-35578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-zuzana-koskova"],"yoast_head":"\nNever grand: Chinese property market crisis overview - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/never-grand-chinese-property-market-crisis-overview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Never grand: Chinese property market crisis overview - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"What is happening? Just two weeks after a Chinese delegation in Davos, led by the Chinese premier Li Qiang (\u674e\u5f37), was trying to convince the world\u2019s investors of China\u2019s growth and stability, media headlines painted a very different picture. 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Just two weeks after a Chinese delegation in Davos, led by the Chinese premier Li Qiang (\u674e\u5f37), was trying to convince the world\u2019s investors of China\u2019s growth and stability, media headlines painted a very different picture. 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