{"id":34466,"date":"2023-08-22T12:01:16","date_gmt":"2023-08-22T10:01:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=34466"},"modified":"2024-03-11T15:32:31","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T13:32:31","slug":"ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/","title":{"rendered":"V indon\u00e9sk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch vede pro\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd ministr obrany"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Co se d\u011bje?<\/h2>

S bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edm se koncem druh\u00e9ho prezidentsk\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed prezidenta Joko \u201eJokowiho\u201c Widoda se Indon\u00e9sie p\u0159ipravuje na prezidentsk\u00e9 volby<\/strong> pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 na \u00fanor 2024. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu<\/a> Indikator Politik vede v trojboji \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed ministr obrany<\/strong> Prabowo Subianto s 33,6 % deklarovan\u00e9 podpory. Subianto, kter\u00fd v letech 2014 a 2019 prohr\u00e1l s Jokowiem, opustil sv\u00e9 proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed<\/a> a m\u00edsto toho p\u0159ijal pevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obrannou spolupr\u00e1ci s \u010c\u00ednskou lidovou republikou<\/strong> uprost\u0159ed rostouc\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed a americko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 konkurence<\/strong> v indicko-pacifick\u00e9m regionu. Indon\u00e9sie, kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v srdci Indick\u00e9ho a Tich\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu, m\u00e1 schopnost naklonit strategickou rovnov\u00e1hu<\/strong> v regionu, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed volby budou m\u00edt d\u016fsledky i za hranicemi st\u00e1tu.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Jak\u00e9 jsou \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed souvislosti?<\/h2>

Mezi t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed kandid\u00e1ty v indon\u00e9sk\u00e9m prezidentsk\u00e9m kl\u00e1n\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed Prabowo Subianto, Ganjar Pranowo a Anies Baswedan. Prabowoa podporuje koalice Great Indonesia Awakening Coalition<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 zahrnuje pravicov\u011b populistickou stranu Gerindra<\/strong> a liber\u00e1ln\u00ed Isl\u00e1mskou Stranu<\/strong> n\u00e1rodn\u00edho probuzen\u00ed <\/strong>(PKB). Druh\u00fd kandid\u00e1t, kter\u00fd v sou\u010dasnosti p\u016fsob\u00ed jako guvern\u00e9r St\u0159edn\u00ed J\u00e1vy <\/strong>(jedn\u00e9 z nejlidnat\u011bj\u0161\u00edch provinci\u00ed zem\u011b), se t\u011b\u0161\u00ed podpo\u0159e vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed Indon\u00e9sk\u00e9 demokratick\u00e9 strany boje<\/strong>. Akademik<\/strong> a politik<\/strong> Anies je nez\u00e1visl\u00fd kandid\u00e1t s podporou sekul\u00e1rn\u00ed koali\u010dn\u00ed strany Nasdem<\/strong> a konzervativn\u00ed Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 Strany prosperuj\u00edc\u00ed spravedlnosti<\/strong> (PKS) v opozici. Je \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00edm guvern\u00e9rem Jakarty<\/strong> \u2013 tato pozice je \u010dasto pova\u017eov\u00e1na za odrazov\u00fd m\u016fstek k prezidentstv\u00ed v Indon\u00e9sii.<\/p>

V prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm volebn\u00edm kl\u00e1n\u00ed se Prabowo sna\u017e\u00ed zbavit sv\u00e9 pov\u011bsti vojensk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce<\/strong> a m\u00edsto toho si p\u011bstuje le\u017e\u00e9rn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed image<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b oslov\u00ed voli\u010de z\u00a0generace Z\u00a0a mileni\u00e1l\u016f. Jako kontroverzn\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00fd gener\u00e1l a velitel speci\u00e1ln\u00edch sil obvin\u011bn\u00fd z poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v,<\/strong> vyu\u017eil Prabowo soci\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b<\/a>, aby z\u00faro\u010dil svou nov\u011b nalezenou legitimitu<\/strong> vybudovanou b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed ve funkci ministra obrany a vytvo\u0159il si tak osobn\u00ed zna\u010dku<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 je p\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1 mlad\u00e9mu publiku. Podle jakartsk\u00e9ho volebn\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu Centra pro strategick\u00e1 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed studia mezi ml\u00e1de\u017e\u00ed<\/a>, budou Indon\u00e9san\u00e9 ve v\u011bku od 17 do 39 let dominantn\u00edm volebn\u00edm blokem s t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 60 % hlas\u016f ve volb\u00e1ch v roce 2024. Vzhledem k posledn\u00edm pr\u016fzkum\u016fm ukazuj\u00edc\u00edm<\/a> Prabowovu silnou podporu mezi mlad\u00fdmi voli\u010di, z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed vyhl\u00eddky na jeho volebn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9.<\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Pro\u010d je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9?<\/h2>

B\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed ve funkci ministra obrany v administrativ\u011b prezidenta Jokowiho udr\u017eoval Prabowo srde\u010dn\u00e9 vztahy se sv\u00fdmi \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi prot\u011bj\u0161ky. B\u011bhem sch\u016fzky v Si-anu v listopadu 2022 se Prabowo a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd st\u00e1tn\u00ed rada a ministr obrany Wej Feng-che (\u9b4f\u9cf3\u548c) dohodli na obnoven\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho v\u00fdcviku a cvi\u010den\u00edch pozastaven\u00fdch pandemi\u00ed COVID-19. V \u010dervnu 2023 Prabowo a \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd ministr obrany Li \u0160ang-fu (\u674e\u5c1a\u798f) ozn\u00e1mili vytvo\u0159en\u00ed indon\u00e9sko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra 2+2.<\/strong><\/p>

Indon\u00e9sie form\u00e1ln\u011b pokra\u010duje ve formov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch vztah\u016f podle doktr\u00edny neanga\u017eovanosti<\/strong> neboli bebas dan aktif<\/strong> (svobodn\u00e1 a aktivn\u00ed). Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee \u010cLR si jej\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed nen\u00e1rokuje v r\u00e1mci sv\u00e9 linie dev\u00edti \u010dar, Jakarta se \u010dasto sna\u017e\u00ed stavit jako neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed strana<\/strong> ve sv\u00e9m geopoliticky kritick\u00e9m okol\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco Prabowo aktivn\u011b jednal se sv\u00fdmi \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi prot\u011bj\u0161ky, prok\u00e1zal tak\u00e9 sv\u016fj z\u00e1vazek v\u016f\u010di strategick\u00e9mu partnerstv\u00ed mezi USA a Indon\u00e9si\u00ed<\/strong><\/a> a nad\u00e1le zapojoval svou zemi do spole\u010dn\u00fdch cvi\u010den\u00ed<\/a> s USA.<\/p>

Strategie dvoj\u00edho zapojen\u00ed ministra obrany a prezidentsk\u00e9 nad\u011bje v\u00a0jednom m\u016f\u017ee z\u00e1rove\u0148 Pekingu nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u011b prosp\u011bt. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 lidov\u00e1 republika z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm zdrojem kapit\u00e1lu pro investice do infrastruktury<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 byly z\u00e1kladn\u00edm kamenem Jokowiho \u00fa\u0159adu. Krom\u011b toho \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti jako Tsingshan (\u9752\u5c71) dominuj\u00ed v indon\u00e9sk\u00e9m t\u011b\u017eebn\u00edm sektoru<\/strong> \u2013 co\u017e je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed v\u00fdzva uprost\u0159ed rostouc\u00ed celosv\u011btov\u00e9 konkurence o kritick\u00e9 suroviny<\/strong>, jako je nikl. Indon\u00e9sk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany pod Prabowoem nepova\u017euje tyto rostouc\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti<\/strong> za potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed riziko n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti pro Jakartu. Pokud bude Prabowo zvolen, d\u00e1 se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pokra\u010dovat ve sv\u00e9m um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstupu k Pekingu, \u010d\u00edm\u017e posune rovnov\u00e1hu sil v Indo-Pacifiku ve prosp\u011bch \u010c\u00edny.<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What is going on? As President Joko \u201cJokowi\u201d Widodo\u2019s second presidential term comes to end, Indonesia is gearing up for a presidential election scheduled for February 2024. According to the latest poll by Indikator Politik, the incumbent defense minister Prabowo Subianto is leading in the three-way race with 33.6 percent of declared support. Subianto, who […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":34467,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500],"tags":[495],"class_list":["post-34466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-marcin-jerzewski"],"yoast_head":"\nAhead of Indonesian Elections, China-Friendly Defense Minister in the Lead - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ahead of Indonesian Elections, China-Friendly Defense Minister in the Lead - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"What is going on? 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As President Joko \u201cJokowi\u201d Widodo\u2019s second presidential term comes to end, Indonesia is gearing up for a presidential election scheduled for February 2024. According to the latest poll by Indikator Politik, the incumbent defense minister Prabowo Subianto is leading in the three-way race with 33.6 percent of declared support. Subianto, who […]","og_url":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/","og_site_name":"European Values Center for Security Policy","article_published_time":"2023-08-22T10:01:16+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-03-11T13:32:31+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2160,"height":1136,"url":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Indonesian_flags.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Ond\u0159ej Ber\u00e1nek","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Napsal(a)":"Ond\u0159ej Ber\u00e1nek","Odhadovan\u00e1 doba \u010dten\u00ed":"6 minut"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/"},"author":{"name":"Ond\u0159ej Ber\u00e1nek","@id":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/7724fb271acacd215231c937a200a510"},"headline":"Ahead of Indonesian Elections, China-Friendly Defense Minister in the Lead","datePublished":"2023-08-22T10:01:16+00:00","dateModified":"2024-03-11T13:32:31+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/"},"wordCount":1443,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/en\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Indonesian_flags.jpg","keywords":["Marcin Jerzewski"],"articleSection":["Articles"],"inLanguage":"cs"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/","url":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/ahead-of-indonesian-elections-china-friendly-defense-minister-in-the-lead\/","name":"Ahead of Indonesian Elections, China-Friendly Defense Minister in the Lead - 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