{"id":3116,"date":"2015-07-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2015-07-08T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/dve-referenda\/"},"modified":"2021-12-16T12:10:20","modified_gmt":"2021-12-16T10:10:20","slug":"dve-referenda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/dve-referenda\/","title":{"rendered":"Dv\u011b referenda"},"content":{"rendered":"

EU je na odchod \u0158ecka z euroz\u00f3ny p\u0159ipravena, jak jen to je mo\u017en\u00e9<\/strong><\/p>\n

Alexis Tsipras nen\u00ed prvn\u00ed \u0159eck\u00fd premi\u00e9r, kter\u00fd se rozhodl p\u0159en\u00e9st odpov\u011bdnost za p\u0159ijet\u00ed \u00fasporn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed vy\u017eadovan\u00fdch Troikou (Evropsk\u00e1 komise, ECB a MMF) na ob\u010dany. O podobn\u00fd man\u00e9vr se pokusil Jorgos Papandreu v\u00a0roce 2011. Situace ale tehdy byla odli\u0161n\u00e1. Papandreu s\u00a0n\u00e1padem uspo\u0159\u00e1dat referendum p\u0159i\u0161el \u010dty\u0159i dny po dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody, jej\u00edm\u017e p\u0159edm\u011btem byla restrukturalizace dluhu v\u00fdm\u011bnou za reformy a \u00fasporn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed. Premi\u00e9r v\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee referendum donut\u00ed kritiky v\u00a0jeho vlastn\u00ed stran\u011b i opozici, aby si vybrali – a \u017ee z\u00edsk\u00e1 mand\u00e1t pro p\u0159ijet\u00ed tvrd\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Tsipras rovn\u011b\u017e bojuje na dvou front\u00e1ch, s\u00a0v\u011b\u0159iteli i s\u00a0rebely ve vlastn\u00edch \u0159ad\u00e1ch<\/a>. P\u0159istoupen\u00ed na podm\u00ednky Troiky by mohlo v\u00e9st k\u00a0rozpadu strany, kterou vyt\u00e1hl na vrchol. Na rozd\u00edl od Papandrea vyzval Tsipras \u0158eky k\u00a0hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed proti dal\u0161\u00edm \u00fasporn\u00fdm opat\u0159en\u00edm. A na rozd\u00edl od Papanderova referenda nepovede k\u00a0vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed akutn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed. Tsipras si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00fdsledku \u201eNE\u201c z\u00edsk\u00e1 nov\u00fd mand\u00e1t pro vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0v\u011b\u0159iteli. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00fdsledku \u201eANO\u201c v\u0161ak\u00a0padne v Ath\u00e9n\u00e1ch vl\u00e1da<\/a>, kter\u00e1 by mohla \u00fasporn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed prosadit.<\/p>\n

Britsk\u00fd den\u00edk Financial Times vydal minul\u00e9 jaro trojici \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f (1<\/a>,2<\/a>,3<\/a>), kter\u00e9 popisovaly \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed akutn\u00ed f\u00e1ze \u0159eck\u00e9 krize v\u00a0letech 2011 a 2012. Opakovan\u00e9 \u010dten\u00ed t\u011bchto text\u016f n\u00e1m m\u016f\u017ee d\u00e1t odpov\u011b\u010f na n\u011bkter\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky ohledn\u011b referenda a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9ho grexitu.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0roce 2011 se referendum nakonec nekonalo. Evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed investovali do dohody p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho politick\u00e9ho kapit\u00e1lu\u00a0a ob\u00e1vali se zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u00farok\u016f z nov\u011b vyd\u00e1van\u00fdch\u00a0dluhopis\u016f pro zbytek ji\u017en\u00edho k\u0159\u00eddla euroz\u00f3ny, donutili tehdej\u0161\u00edho \u0159eck\u00e9ho p\u0159edsedu vl\u00e1dy referendum st\u00e1hnout. I b\u011bhem sou\u010dasn\u00e9 krize st\u00e1le existuj\u00ed snahy se\u00a0referendu s\u00a0nejist\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem<\/a>\u00a0vyhnout a jedn\u00e1n\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00ed. Ath\u00e9ny se nyn\u00ed zdaj\u00ed b\u00fdt ochotn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbankrotovat a euroz\u00f3na je ochotn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nechat \u0158ecko odej\u00edt.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee obavy z\u00a0v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch negativn\u00edch dopad\u016f \u0159eck\u00e9ho bankrotu existuj\u00ed, nedosahuj\u00ed u\u017e takov\u00e9 intenzity jako p\u0159ed t\u0159emi a p\u016fl lety. \u0158eck\u00fd dluh dr\u017e\u00ed z\u00a0velk\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161iny Troika, tak\u017ee riziko \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed n\u00e1kazy na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch nen\u00ed vysok\u00e9. ECB nov\u011b disponuje n\u00e1stroji, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly pomoci udr\u017eet v\u00fdnosy z\u00a0dluhopis\u016f zraniteln\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na uzd\u011b. A ekonomick\u00e1 situace v euroz\u00f3n\u011b je stabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e na p\u0159elomu let 2011 a 2012. \u00a0Bankrot nav\u00edc\u00a0nutn\u011b neznamen\u00e1<\/a>, \u017ee \u0158ecko euroz\u00f3nu opust\u00ed.\u00a0Okolnosti<\/a>\u00a0by ho k\u00a0tomu nicm\u00e9n\u011b donutit mohly.<\/p>\n

Pokud k\u00a0dohod\u011b nedojde, riziko Grexitu se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed. Ze zmi\u0148ovan\u00e9 s\u00e9rie \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f FT v\u00edme, \u017ee uvnit\u0159 v\u0161ech \u010dlen\u016f Troiky existovaly od roku 2012 utajen\u00e9 skupiny pracuj\u00edc\u00ed na\u00a0Pl\u00e1nu Z \u2013\u00a0<\/em>sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159iobsahuj\u00edc\u00edmu seznam konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch krok\u016f, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly umo\u017enit co nejhlad\u0161\u00ed odd\u011blen\u00ed \u0158ecka od m\u011bnov\u00e9 unie. P\u0159esn\u00fd obsah nikdo nepov\u011b\u0159en\u00fd ne\u010detl. D\u00edky FT v\u0161ak z n\u011bj zn\u00e1me alespo\u0148 st\u0159\u00edpky, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1m mohou d\u00e1t ur\u010ditou p\u0159edstavu o tom, co se m\u016f\u017ee d\u00edt v\u00a0n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch dnech.<\/p>\n

Detailn\u00ed n\u00e1vrh z\u00a0d\u00edlny MMF obsahoval i takov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed jako vypnut\u00ed bankomat\u016f a zaveden\u00ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch kontrol, tedy limit\u016f na p\u0159esun pen\u011bz do zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Tato opat\u0159en\u00ed ji\u017e byla At\u00e9nami \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ijata. Zat\u00edmco v\u00fdb\u011bry z\u00a0bankomat\u016f byly jen omezeny, na platby do zahrani\u010d\u00ed je ji\u017e pot\u0159eba z\u00edskat povolen\u00ed od vl\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Skupina pracuj\u00edc\u00ed v ECB se zab\u00fdvala vyd\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm dlu\u017en\u00edch \u00fapis\u016f (tzv. IOUs) argentinskou vl\u00e1dou b\u011bhem m\u011bnov\u00e9 krize \u00a0v roce 2001 nebo zaveden\u00edm nov\u00e9ho din\u00e1ru v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku po americk\u00e9 invazi \u00a0v roce 2003. V\u00a0Bruselu se pak pl\u00e1novalo, jak vy\u0159e\u0161it institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy mezi \u0158eckem a zbytkem EU. Pl\u00e1n Z\u00a0byl jist\u011b aktualizov\u00e1n a m\u016f\u017eeme se domn\u00edvat, \u017ee EU je na odchod \u0158ecka z\u00a0euroz\u00f3ny p\u0159ipravena, jak jen to je mo\u017en\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Text vy\u0161el 1. \u010dervence na\u00a0www,respekt.ihned.cz<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\"Horak\"<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/code><\/p>\n

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Autor David Hor\u00e1k je spolupracovn\u00edkem Analytick\u00e9ho t\u00fdmu Think-tanku Evropsk\u00e9 hodnoty<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EU je na odchod \u0158ecka z euroz\u00f3ny p\u0159ipravena, jak jen to je mo\u017en\u00e9<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":15647,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[461],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-press-releases"],"yoast_head":"\nDv\u011b referenda - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/dve-referenda\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dv\u011b referenda - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EU je na odchod \u0158ecka z euroz\u00f3ny p\u0159ipravena, jak jen to je mo\u017en\u00e9\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/dve-referenda\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-07-08T00:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-12-16T10:10:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/pexels-felix-mittermeier-1269805-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1047\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"unicornsarereal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Napsal(a)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"unicornsarereal\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Odhadovan\u00e1 doba \u010dten\u00ed\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minuty\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/dve-referenda\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/dve-referenda\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"unicornsarereal\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/85c51e5d596f5218a05416643bad4a07\"},\"headline\":\"Dv\u011b referenda\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-07-08T00:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-12-16T10:10:20+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/dve-referenda\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":792,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/dve-referenda\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/08\\\/pexels-felix-mittermeier-1269805-scaled.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Press Releases\"],\"inLanguage\":\"cs\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/dve-referenda\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/europeanvalues.cz\\\/en\\\/dve-referenda\\\/\",\"name\":\"Dv\u011b referenda - 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