{"id":3008,"date":"2014-05-04T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-05-04T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/slovensku-se-nedari-ovladl-ho-demon-euro-aneb-jak-je-to-doopravdy\/"},"modified":"2021-12-16T12:28:36","modified_gmt":"2021-12-16T10:28:36","slug":"slovensku-se-nedari-ovladl-ho-demon-euro-aneb-jak-je-to-doopravdy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/slovensku-se-nedari-ovladl-ho-demon-euro-aneb-jak-je-to-doopravdy\/","title":{"rendered":"Slovensku se neda\u0159\u00ed, ovl\u00e1dl ho d\u00e9mon euro aneb jak je to doopravdy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Prvn\u00ed p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed debata \u010cesk\u00e9 televize s\u00a0l\u00eddry kandid\u00e1tek pro kv\u011btnov\u00e9 volby do Evropsk\u00e9ho parlamentu uk\u00e1zala propastn\u00e9 rozd\u00edly ve znalostech a rozhledu jednotliv\u00fdch pozvan\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f. Zat\u00edmco Lud\u011bk Niedermayer<\/b> (za TOP 09 a STAN) a Pavel Svoboda<\/b> (KDU-\u010cSL) div\u00e1ky p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dili, \u017ee v\u011bd\u00ed, o \u010dem mluv\u00ed, zbyl\u00ed dva kandid\u00e1ti uk\u00e1zali sv\u00e1 slab\u00e1 m\u00edsta.<\/p>\n

Kate\u0159ina Kone\u010dn\u00e1<\/b> (KS\u010cM), p\u0159esto\u017ee i ona p\u0159edvedla, \u017ee se v\u00a0mnoha ohledech v\u00a0aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm evropsk\u00e9m d\u011bn\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b orientuje, se dopustila faktick\u00e9ho omylu, kdy\u017e prohl\u00e1sila, \u017ee: \u201eEvropa je ve stagnaci, Evropa neroste.\u201c <\/b>Takov\u00e9 tvrzen\u00ed se nezakl\u00e1d\u00e1 na pravd\u011b. Hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt (HDP) Evropsk\u00e9 unie jako celku <\/b>(za v\u0161ech 28 \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f) stagnoval naposledy v\u00a0prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed minul\u00e9ho roku, od t\u00e9 doby v\u0161ak ka\u017ed\u00fdm \u010dtvrtlet\u00edm roste.<\/b> Ve druh\u00e9m kvart\u00e1lu roku 2013 byl o 0,4\u00a0% vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v\u00a0tom prvn\u00edm, ve t\u0159et\u00edm o 0,3 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve druh\u00e9m a v tom \u010dtvrt\u00e9m o 0,4\u00a0% vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve t\u0159et\u00edm (data za prvn\u00ed \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2014 je\u0161t\u011b dostupn\u00e1 nejsou). Ekonomika EU tedy jednozna\u010dn\u011b roste. A to u\u017e pom\u011brn\u011b dlouho.<\/b> Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst nav\u00edc zaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 i euroz\u00f3na (18 \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f), p\u0159esto\u017ee o n\u011bco pomalej\u0161\u00ed (0,3 %, 0,1\u00a0% a 0,3\u00a0% za druh\u00e9 a\u017e \u010dtvrt\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2013).[1]<\/a><\/p>\n

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\u010ctvrt\u00fdm a posledn\u00edm \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edkem zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 debaty byl Petr Hannig<\/b> (Rozumn\u00ed), kter\u00fd odhalil sv\u00e9 slabiny, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm co se t\u00fd\u010de jeho p\u0159edstavy o fungov\u00e1n\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 m\u011bnov\u00e9 unie. B\u011bhem debaty vyj\u00e1d\u0159il n\u00e1zor, \u017ee euro m\u011blo neblah\u00fd vliv na slovenskou ekonomiku<\/b>. T\u00e9 se ov\u0161em da\u0159\u00ed skv\u011ble, dokonce mnohem l\u00e9pe ne\u017e t\u00e9 na\u0161\u00ed.<\/b> A bylo tomu tak p\u0159ed 1. lednem 2009, kdy Slovensko jednotnou evropskou m\u011bnu p\u0159ijalo, je tomu tak i po tomto datu.[2]<\/a> V\u00a0\u00favahu p\u0159ipad\u00e1 krom\u011b \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky je\u0161t\u011b srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0Ma\u010farskem a Polskem, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ani jedna z\u00a0t\u011bchto zem\u00ed eurem neplat\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd v\u00fdvoj v\u00a0Ma\u010farsku byl a\u017e do roku 2012 je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ten \u010desk\u00fd[3]<\/a>, Polsko p\u0159edstavuje naopak \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh. Jako jedin\u00e9 v cel\u00e9 EU se do ekonomick\u00e9 krize v\u016fbec nedostalo. Polsk\u00e1 ekonomika ka\u017ed\u00fdm rokem roste.[4]<\/a> Porovn\u00e1v\u00e1me-li tedy st\u00e1ty Visegr\u00e1dsk\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159ky, nezd\u00e1 se, \u017ee by m\u011blo pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed eura na jejich ekonomick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj jednozna\u010dn\u00fd vliv.<\/p>\n

Pokud se jedn\u00e1 o Slovensko samotn\u00e9, nen\u00ed bohu\u017eel mo\u017en\u00e9 \u00fapln\u011b spolehliv\u011b \u0159\u00edci, jak by na tom dnes bylo, kdyby bylo b\u00fdvalo spole\u010dnou m\u011bnu nep\u0159ijalo.<\/b>[5]<\/a> Ekonomick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj jak\u00e9koli zem\u011b je toti\u017e velmi komplexn\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitost ovliv\u0148ovan\u00e1 mno\u017estv\u00edm rozli\u010dn\u00fdch faktor\u016f. Nedok\u00e1\u017eeme nap\u0159\u00edklad \u0159\u00edci, zda by zahrani\u010dn\u00ed investo\u0159i investovali na Slovensko m\u00e9n\u011b, kdyby se nep\u0159idalo k\u00a0euroz\u00f3n\u011b (a u\u017e v\u016fbec nedok\u00e1\u017eeme \u0159\u00edci, o kolik) nebo za jak\u00fd \u00farok by si dnes Slovensko p\u016fj\u010dovalo na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch. P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee v\u00a0obou t\u011bchto ohledech bylo euro pro Slovensko p\u0159\u00ednosem. Proto\u017ee jsou v\u0161ak ovlivn\u011bny p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm psychologick\u00fdmi efekty stability m\u011bny a celkov\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed, nelze je jednozna\u010dn\u011b potvrdit ani vy\u010d\u00edslit.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd je i dal\u0161\u00ed argument Petra Hanniga<\/b>, \u017ee: \u201eKdyby byla slovensk\u00e1 koruna, tak by mohla b\u00fdt na finan\u010dn\u00edm trhu flexibiln\u00ed, mohla by klesnout a jejich v\u00fdrobky by byly vlastn\u011b konkurenceschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e kdy\u017e je euro.\u201c<\/b> Je pravdou, \u017ee Slovensko dnes nem\u016f\u017ee kurz m\u011bny, kterou pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 (tedy eura), ovliv\u0148ovat ve sv\u016fj n\u00e1rodn\u00ed prosp\u011bch tak, jako to mohou ud\u011blat st\u00e1ty maj\u00edc\u00ed svou vlastn\u00ed m\u011bnu. (Nap\u0159\u00edklad kdy\u017e \u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka zas\u00e1hla v\u00a0listopadu lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku do v\u00fdvoje kurzu koruny, aby odvr\u00e1tila hrozbu deflace.) Pokud by Slovensko svou korunu m\u011blo, mohlo by skute\u010dn\u011b \u010dinit kroky k\u00a0jej\u00edmu oslaben\u00ed (tedy zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed jej\u00edho kurzu, nap\u0159\u00edklad v\u016f\u010di euru), \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se slovensk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed st\u00e1valo na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch cenov\u011b konkurenceschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Jde o situaci, kdy zem\u011b d\u011bl\u00e1 svou m\u011bnu navenek \u00famysln\u011b slab\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e jak by ji ocenily finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy, a to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm proto, aby zv\u00fdhodnila sv\u00e9 export\u00e9ry.<\/p>\n

Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b u Slovenska by v\u0161ak byl smysl podobn\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00edn\u00e1n\u00ed velmi diskutabiln\u00ed.<\/b> A\u017e do roku 2010 toti\u017e Slovensko v\u00edce zbo\u017e\u00ed a slu\u017eeb ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed dov\u00e1\u017eelo, ne\u017e kolik jich vyvezlo[6]<\/a>, tak\u017ee by si oslaben\u00edm m\u011bny paradoxn\u011b sp\u00ed\u0161e u\u0161kodilo<\/b>, proto\u017ee by de facto zdra\u017eilo pr\u00e1v\u011b dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed. A dohadovat se, zda by to bylo hypoteticky u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e9 dnes, kdy u\u017e je Slovensko \u010dist\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem (tedy vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v\u00edce, ne\u017e dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed), tak\u00e9 ned\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 smysl, proto\u017ee nelze \u0159\u00edci, zda by se skute\u010dn\u011b stalo \u010dist\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem, kdyby nep\u0159e\u0161lo na jednotnou evropskou m\u011bnu. Jsme op\u011bt u toho, \u017ee nem\u016f\u017eeme v\u011bd\u011bt, \u201eco by bylo, kdyby\u2026\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ani v\u00fdrok, \u017ee: \u201eEuro v\u0161echno zdra\u017e\u00ed, ceny stoupnou, ale mzdy a d\u016fchody z\u016fstanou na stejn\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i,\u201c<\/b> nelze pova\u017eovat za pravdiv\u00fd. Nap\u0159\u00edklad pr\u00e1v\u011b zmi\u0148ovan\u00e9 Slovensko je toho jasn\u00fdm d\u016fkazem. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 obavy z\u00a0masivn\u00edho zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jeho vstup do euroz\u00f3ny prov\u00e1zely, se nepotvrdily. Situace byla ve skute\u010dnosti p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00e1, ne\u017e jak ji Petr Hannig<\/b> b\u011bhem debaty nast\u00ednil. B\u011bhem prvn\u00edch t\u0159\u00ed let po p\u0159ijet\u00ed eura[7]<\/b><\/a> stouply ceny na Slovensku pouze o 5,8\u00a0%[8]<\/b><\/a>.<\/b> \u010cist\u011b pro porovn\u00e1n\u00ed, je to m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed v\u00a0cel\u00e9 EU (6,3\u00a0%), podobn\u011b jako t\u0159eba v\u00a0Rakousku (5,7\u00a0%) nebo USA (5,5\u00a0%), o n\u011bco v\u00edce ne\u017e v\u00a0\u010cesk\u00e9 republice (4,0\u00a0%), ale mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e v\u00a0Polsku (10,9\u00a0%) a Ma\u010farsku (13,2\u00a0%)[9]<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Naproti tomu \u010dist\u00fd p\u0159\u00edjem na jednoho obyvatele vzrostl mezi lety 2008 a 2011 na Slovensku o 9,5\u00a0%[10]<\/b><\/a>.<\/b> To bylo mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e v cel\u00e9 EU (5,3\u00a0%), ale tak\u00e9 o dost v\u00edce ne\u017e ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b v\u00a0\u010cesk\u00e9 republice (7,3\u00a0%)[11]<\/a>. Mzdy v\u00a0Polsku a Ma\u010farsku v\u00a0t\u00e9 dob\u011b dokonce klesaly (-2,5\u00a0%, respektive -3,4\u00a0%)[12]<\/a>. A podobn\u00e1 situace panovala i co se t\u00fd\u010de d\u016fchod\u016f. I ty vrostly <\/b>v\u00a0prvn\u00edch t\u0159ech letech po vstupu Slovenska do euroz\u00f3ny v\u00fdrazn\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e tamn\u00ed spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9 ceny, a to o 13,6\u00a0%[13]<\/b><\/a>.<\/b> EU jako celek zaznamenala v\u00a0t\u00e9m\u017ee obdob\u00ed v\u00a0porovn\u00e1n\u00ed se Slovenskem r\u016fst d\u016fchod\u016f jen t\u0159etinov\u00fd (4,3\u00a0%), v\u00a0\u010cR vzrostly sice o n\u011bco v\u00edce (15,3\u00a0%), v\u00a0Polsku v\u0161ak jen zhruba polovi\u010dn\u011b (7,2\u00a0%) a v\u00a0Ma\u010farsku d\u016fchody klesaly (-6,6\u00a0%)[14]<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Je pravdou, \u017ee Slovensko p\u0159ijalo euro pr\u00e1v\u011b v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy v\u00a0Evrop\u011b nejv\u00edce \u0159\u00e1dila ekonomick\u00e1 krize, co\u017e m\u011blo na zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla v\u00fdznamn\u00fd vliv. To v\u0161ak nem\u011bn\u00ed nic na tom, \u017ee tam ceny po zaveden\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9 m\u011bny nerostly nijak zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 v\u00edce ne\u017e jinde ve vysp\u011bl\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. A mzdy a d\u016fchody rozhodn\u011b nez\u016fstaly na stejn\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i, naopak v\u00fdrazn\u011b vzrostly<\/b>. L\u00edd\u0159i politick\u00fdch stran do evropsk\u00fdch voleb by sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 n\u00e1zory m\u011bli nap\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b podpo\u0159it rad\u011bji pravdiv\u00fdmi argumenty m\u00edsto mystifikace voli\u010de om\u00edl\u00e1n\u00edm nepravdiv\u00fdch kli\u0161\u00e9.<\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n

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[1]<\/a> Eurostat, \u201eGDP and main components – volumes\u201c [citov\u00e1no 4. kv\u011btna 2014] https:\/\/appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu\/nui\/show.do?dataset=namq_gdp_k&lang=en.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[2]<\/a> Pouze v\u00a0krizov\u00e9m roce 2009 byl ro\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst HDP o n\u011bco ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed na Slovensku ne\u017e v\u00a0\u010cesk\u00e9 republice (-4,9\u00a0% v\u00a0porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s -4,5 %). Eurostat, \u201eGDP and main components – volumes\u201c [citov\u00e1no 2. kv\u011btna 2014] https:\/\/appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu\/nui\/show.do?dataset=nama_gdp_k&lang=en.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

[3]<\/a> V\u00a0roce 2013 se v\u0161ak vy\u0161vihlo a p\u0159esko\u010dilo nejen n\u00e1s, ale i Slovensko. Eurostat, \u201eGDP and main components – volumes\u201c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

[4]<\/a> Po cel\u00e9 obdob\u00ed od roku 1996, od kter\u00e9ho jsou dostupn\u00e1 tato data. Eurostat, \u201eGDP and main components – volumes\u201c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

[5]<\/a> Presseurop, \u201eOplatilo sa euro?\u201c [citov\u00e1no 3. kv\u011btna 2014] https:\/\/www.presseurop.eu\/cs\/content\/article\/656911-oplatilo-sa-euro.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

[6]<\/a> Eurostat, \u201eGDP and main components – Current prices\u201c [citov\u00e1no 3. kv\u011btna 2014] https:\/\/appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu\/nui\/show.do?dataset=nama_gdp_c&lang=en.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

[7]<\/a> Do roku 2011, p\u0159i srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0rokem 2008.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

[8]<\/a> Eurostat, \u201eHICP (2005 = 100) – annual data (average index and rate of change)\u201c [citov\u00e1no 3. kv\u011btna 2014] https:\/\/appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu\/nui\/show.do?dataset=prc_hicp_aind&lang=en.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

[9]<\/a> Ibid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[10]<\/a> Eurostat, \u201eAnnual net earnings\u201c [citov\u00e1no 3. kv\u011btna 2014] https:\/\/appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu\/nui\/show.do?dataset=earn_nt_net&lang=en.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[11]<\/a> Ibid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[12]<\/a> Ibid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[13]<\/a> Eurostat, \u201ePensions\u201c [citov\u00e1no 3. kv\u011btna 2014] https:\/\/appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu\/nui\/show.do?dataset=spr_exp_pens&lang=en.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[14]<\/a> Ibid.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prvn\u00ed p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed debata \u010cesk\u00e9 televize s\u00a0l\u00eddry kandid\u00e1tek pro kv\u011btnov\u00e9 volby do Evropsk\u00e9ho parlamentu uk\u00e1zala propastn\u00e9 rozd\u00edly ve znalostech a rozhledu jednotliv\u00fdch pozvan\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f. Zat\u00edmco Lud\u011bk Niedermayer (za TOP 09 a STAN) a Pavel Svoboda (KDU-\u010cSL) div\u00e1ky p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dili, \u017ee v\u011bd\u00ed, o \u010dem mluv\u00ed, zbyl\u00ed dva kandid\u00e1ti uk\u00e1zali sv\u00e1 slab\u00e1 m\u00edsta. Kate\u0159ina Kone\u010dn\u00e1 (KS\u010cM), p\u0159esto\u017ee i ona […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":15647,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[461],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-press-releases"],"yoast_head":"\nSlovensku se neda\u0159\u00ed, ovl\u00e1dl ho d\u00e9mon euro aneb jak je to doopravdy - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/slovensku-se-nedari-ovladl-ho-demon-euro-aneb-jak-je-to-doopravdy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Slovensku se neda\u0159\u00ed, ovl\u00e1dl ho d\u00e9mon euro aneb jak je to doopravdy - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Prvn\u00ed p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed debata \u010cesk\u00e9 televize s\u00a0l\u00eddry kandid\u00e1tek pro kv\u011btnov\u00e9 volby do Evropsk\u00e9ho parlamentu uk\u00e1zala propastn\u00e9 rozd\u00edly ve znalostech a rozhledu jednotliv\u00fdch pozvan\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f. Zat\u00edmco Lud\u011bk Niedermayer (za TOP 09 a STAN) a Pavel Svoboda (KDU-\u010cSL) div\u00e1ky p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dili, \u017ee v\u011bd\u00ed, o \u010dem mluv\u00ed, zbyl\u00ed dva kandid\u00e1ti uk\u00e1zali sv\u00e1 slab\u00e1 m\u00edsta. 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