{"id":24726,"date":"2022-03-18T12:19:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-18T10:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/?p=24726"},"modified":"2022-04-25T10:36:41","modified_gmt":"2022-04-25T08:36:41","slug":"no-fly-zone-above-ukraine-can-no-longer-be-taboo-there-is-a-solution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/no-fly-zone-above-ukraine-can-no-longer-be-taboo-there-is-a-solution\/","title":{"rendered":"Bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na nad Ukrajinou u\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tabu. \u0158e\u0161en\u00ed existuje."},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rusov\u00e9 kup\u00ed chyby. \u00datok na jadernou elektr\u00e1rnu byla jedna z nich. Kreml, kter\u00fd evidentn\u011b nen\u00ed schopen zvr\u00e1tit pr\u016fb\u011bh v\u00e1lky tak, aby dos\u00e1hl sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, m\u011bl j\u00edt \u00fapln\u011b jinou, deeskala\u010dn\u00ed cestou. Poskytnout humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed koridory a soust\u0159edit se na udr\u017een\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00fdch zisk\u016f v\u00a0jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00fdm veden\u00edm, kter\u00e9 bude cht\u00edt ukon\u010dit utrpen\u00ed obyvatel.<\/h2>


\u00datokem na jadernou elektr\u00e1rnu vyvolalo Rusko strach a hn\u011bv. Pod tlakem ve\u0159ejnosti te\u010f budou muset Rusko opustit i zbytky z\u00e1padn\u00edch firem a zvy\u0161uje se pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee Putina opust\u00ed i \u010c\u00edna.\u00a0 \u00datok nakonec m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt bodem zlomu, ale rozhodn\u011b ne pozitivn\u00edm pro Rusko. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee ani dosavadn\u00ed ne\u00fasp\u011bch na v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m\u00a0poli ani sankce nedok\u00e1zaly zm\u011bnit rusk\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed. Je \u010das na odlo\u017een\u00ed opatrnosti a vystup\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed pomoci Z\u00e1padu trp\u00edc\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b. Bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na ji\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tabu.<\/p>

Bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na<\/h3>

Ve vzdu\u0161n\u00e9m prostoru m\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nad\u00e1le obrovskou p\u0159evahu, a\u010dkoliv nedok\u00e1zala ukrajinsk\u00e9 letectvo a protivzdu\u0161nou obranu zcela zni\u010dit. Uk\u00e1zalo se nav\u00edc, \u017ee se neboj\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edt vzdu\u0161nou p\u0159evahu proti civiln\u00edmu obyvatelstvu. Zcela pochopiteln\u011b te\u010f ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 \u017e\u00e1daj\u00ed vytvo\u0159en\u00ed bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny. Jejich po\u017eadavek je opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00fd a legitimn\u00ed.<\/p>

Za st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed situace je ov\u0161em vytvo\u0159en\u00ed bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 z pr\u00e1vn\u00edho hlediska a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9 z hlediska strategick\u00e9ho i takticko-opera\u010dn\u00edho. Bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na nad celou Ukrajinou by nepochybn\u011b vy\u017eadovala nasazen\u00ed velk\u00e9ho mno\u017estv\u00ed letadel a dal\u0161\u00ed techniky, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee d\u00e1t k dispozici pouze Severoatlantick\u00e1 aliance. Vynucen\u00ed bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny by p\u0159ineslo st\u0159ety s rusk\u00fdmi letouny a znamenalo by v\u00e1lku mezi NATO a Ruskem. NATO by t\u00edm pop\u0159elo i sv\u016fj charakter obrann\u00e9 aliance. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd z\u00a0jej\u00edch \u010dlen\u016f toti\u017e nebyl napaden.<\/p>

Omezen\u00e1 bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na<\/h3>

Lze si v\u0161ak p\u0159edstavit \u00fazce vymezenou leteckou z\u00f3nu nad humanit\u00e1rn\u00edmi koridory na z\u00e1pad\u011b zem\u011b, tedy v m\u00edstech, kde se nebojuje a rusk\u00e1 letadla tam, zd\u00e1 se, neoperuj\u00ed. Vy\u017eadovalo by to men\u0161\u00ed po\u010det letadel, a pokud by p\u0159isp\u00edvaly tak\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mimo NATO, nemohlo by to Rusko pova\u017eovat za eskala\u010dn\u00ed krok Aliance. Ukrajinc\u016fm prchaj\u00edc\u00edm na z\u00e1pad a humanit\u00e1rn\u00edm konvoj\u016fm sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edm na v\u00fdchod by to dodalo pot\u0159ebnou jistotu a bezpe\u010dnost.<\/p>

Jednalo by se p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b o symbolick\u00fd krok, mimo oblast bojov\u00fdch operac\u00ed. Geograficky by mohlo j\u00edt o ur\u010dit\u00e9 p\u00e1smo pod\u00e9l z\u00e1padn\u00ed hranice nebo koridor o \u0161\u00ed\u0159ce n\u011bkolika des\u00edtek kilometr\u016f pod\u00e9l hlavn\u00ed trasy z Kyjeva na z\u00e1padn\u00ed hranici Ukrajiny.<\/p>

Vymezilo by to ur\u010ditou oblast, kam by se boje nem\u011bly roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it \u2013 pokud by tam cht\u011blo Rusko operovat, bylo by vystaveno dilematu, zda skute\u010dn\u011b pou\u017e\u00edt s\u00edlu proti rovnocenn\u00e9 nebo je\u0161t\u011b vysp\u011blej\u0161\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 technice a d\u00e1le proti sob\u011b vyvol\u00e1vat hn\u011bv sv\u011bta. K tomu by rozhodn\u011b \u00fatok na \u00fazce definovanou, \u010dist\u011b humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed operaci zcela jist\u011b vedl.<\/p>

Pr\u00e1vn\u00edm z\u00e1kladem by bylo pozv\u00e1n\u00ed od p\u0159ij\u00edmaj\u00edc\u00edho st\u00e1tu, tj. Ukrajiny, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 stejnou pr\u00e1vn\u00ed v\u00e1hu jako pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly podle rozhodnut\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN (RB OSN), nebo pr\u00e1vo na sebeobranu. Aby se p\u0159ede\u0161lo mo\u017en\u00e9mu zneu\u017eit\u00ed Ruskem k eskalaci, byl by Rusku nab\u00eddnut dekonfliktn\u00ed mechanismus. St\u00e1ty \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edc\u00ed se operace by se form\u00e1ln\u011b obr\u00e1tily na RB OSN s t\u00edm, \u017ee na z\u00e1klad\u011b vol\u00e1n\u00ed org\u00e1n\u016f OSN po humanit\u00e1rn\u00edch koridorech p\u0159ijaly okam\u017eit\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed k zamezen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho utrpen\u00ed a p\u0159ed\u00e1vaj\u00ed RB OSN situaci k dal\u0161\u00edmu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v souladu s Chartou OSN. Bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na bude udr\u017eov\u00e1na, dokud RB OSN nerozhodne o dal\u0161\u00edm postupu (co\u017e se kv\u016fli nemo\u017en\u00e9 shod\u011b mezi st\u00e1l\u00fdmi \u010dleny RB nestane).\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>

Realizace bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny<\/h3>

Vytvo\u0159en\u00ed takto \u00fazce definovan\u00e9 z\u00f3ny by nevy\u017eadovalo velk\u00fd po\u010det letadel. Je m\u00e1lo pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by Rusko vedlo na tuto s\u00edlu okam\u017eit\u011b rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd \u00fatok. V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by v\u0161ak byla provedena nezbytn\u00e1 sebeobrana ze strany letectva z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/p>

Na realizaci omezen\u00e9 bezletov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny by se musel pod\u00edlet jeden ze st\u00e1t\u016f v bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed bl\u00edzkosti Ukrajiny, kter\u00fd by poskytl z\u00e1kladnu pro vzlet i dotankov\u00e1n\u00ed letoun\u016f. Ve vzduchu by se \u00fa\u010dastnila letadla z alespo\u0148 4 nebo 5 zem\u00ed, z nich\u017e ide\u00e1ln\u011b jedna nebo dv\u011b by nebyly \u010dlensk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi NATO.<\/p>

V\u0161echny v\u0161ak mus\u00ed disponovat letouny 4. generace, schopnost\u00ed rozm\u00edstit a udr\u017eet letouny mimo sv\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a zku\u0161enost\u00ed s mnohon\u00e1rodn\u00edmi operacemi. V \u00favahu p\u0159ipad\u00e1 nap\u0159\u00edklad \u0160v\u00e9dsko \u010di Finsko, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b Izrael (pro n\u011bj\u017e by to v\u0161ak bylo bezprecedentn\u00ed zapojen\u00ed) nebo st\u00e1ty Z\u00e1livu.<\/p>

Zapojen\u00ed nealian\u010dn\u00edch zem\u00ed a pouze \u010d\u00e1sti \u010dlensk\u00fdch zem\u00ed NATO je naprosto z\u00e1sadn\u00ed. Severoatlantick\u00e1 aliance nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v t\u00e9to operaci jakkoli pova\u017eov\u00e1na za v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00ed stranu. Spojenci u\u017e rozhodli, \u017ee v\u00e1lku NATO s\u00a0Ruskem necht\u011bj\u00ed. Z\u00f3ny by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b platily i pro ukrajinskou stranu. Musely by proto b\u00fdt pe\u010dliv\u011b zkoordinov\u00e1ny, aby nebr\u00e1nily ukrajinsk\u00fdm vzdu\u0161n\u00fdm sil\u00e1m v operac\u00edch proti agresorovi.<\/p>

Realizace takto omezen\u00e9 z\u00f3ny je \u0161anc\u00ed i pro \u010cesko. Na\u0161e vl\u00e1da se m\u016f\u017ee ujmout tohoto \u00fakolu a prosadit jej jako diplomatickou iniciativu v\u016f\u010di dal\u0161\u00edm p\u0159isp\u011bvatel\u016fm, zejm\u00e9na nealian\u010dn\u00edm zem\u00edm. Re\u00e1ln\u011b m\u016f\u017eeme p\u0159isp\u011bt letouny JAS-39 Gripen a d\u016fstojn\u00edky do vel\u00edc\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu cel\u00e9 operace.<\/p>

Martin Sv\u00e1rovsk\u00fd<\/a> (@martinsvarovsky) je vedouc\u00edm Programu bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch strategi\u00ed v Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm centru Evropsk\u00e9 hodnoty. P\u016fsobil v Kancel\u00e1\u0159i prezidenta republiky (za V\u00e1clava Havla), pot\u00e9 v diplomatick\u00fdch slu\u017eb\u00e1ch jako z\u00e1stupce velvyslance v Budape\u0161ti (2002\u20132006) a Var\u0161av\u011b (2010\u20132014), jako z\u00e1stupce \u0159editele Odboru st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropy a posl\u00e9ze Odboru analyticko-pl\u00e1novac\u00edho MZV \u010cR. Je autorem koncepce \u010cesko-polsk\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra, poradcem m\u00edstop\u0159edsedy Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny P\u010cR a p\u0159edsedy jej\u00edho V\u00fdboru pro evropsk\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti z KDU-\u010cSL.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>

Spoluautor textu Karel Ul\u00edk p\u016fsob\u00ed ve St\u00e1l\u00e9 delegaci \u010cR p\u0159i NATO jako obrann\u00fd poradce, v minulosti byl sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed mis\u00ed v Kosovu, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, Ir\u00e1ku a Mali. Rovn\u011b\u017e pracoval v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm sekretari\u00e1tu Severoatlantick\u00e9 aliance.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>

Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek vy\u0161el 4. b\u0159ezna 2022 pod n\u00e1zvem “<\/em>Bezletov\u00e1 z\u00f3na nad Ukrajinou u\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tabu. \u0158e\u0161en\u00ed existuje<\/em><\/a>” v den\u00edku FORUM 24.<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The mistakes of the Russian army are piling up. The attack on the nuclear power plant was one of them. The Kremlin is clearly incapable of turning the tide of the war to achieve its objectives, it should have taken a completely different path, one of de-escalation. Provide humanitarian corridors and concentrate on retaining some […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":24735,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[500,498],"tags":[109],"class_list":["post-24726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","category-security-strategies-projects","tag-martin-svarovsky"],"yoast_head":"\nNo-fly zone above Ukraine can no longer be taboo. There is a solution. - European Values Center for Security Policy<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/europeanvalues.cz\/cs\/no-fly-zone-above-ukraine-can-no-longer-be-taboo-there-is-a-solution\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"No-fly zone above Ukraine can no longer be taboo. There is a solution. - European Values Center for Security Policy\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The mistakes of the Russian army are piling up. The attack on the nuclear power plant was one of them. The Kremlin is clearly incapable of turning the tide of the war to achieve its objectives, it should have taken a completely different path, one of de-escalation. 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